Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue).

: 3. Liga - Round 34
Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
5	4
Shots on target
5	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Yellow Cards
4	3
Total shots
5	4
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
21	17
Fouls
13	15
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Tashchy B. ⚽, Loune A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Besong P. ⚽, Hettwer J. (A),
38', Barylla A. 🟨,
43', Nkansah S. 🟨,
43', Hettwer J. 🟨,
45+1', Krevsun D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Krevsun D. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Clausen M. ⚽, Sijaric O. (A),
67', Sijaric O. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
69', Azhil A. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
74', Fabisch J. 🟨,
75', Besong P. ↓, Lelle D. ↑,
76', Barylla A. ↓, Fallmann P. ↑,
85', Kabar A. 🟨,
85', Kabar A. ↓, Gobel P. ↑,
85', Watjen K. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
90', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Hoffmann T. ↑,
90+4', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Erzgebirge Aue
37%

Draw
30.3%

Borussia Dortmund II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.23)	3.11 ↓ (3.41)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)	7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).
Aue is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Borussia Dortmund II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Borussia Dortmund II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Aue: Bar M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Barylla A. (Stomach Disorder) Ozkan C. (Knee Injury) Rosenlocher L. (Stomach Disorder) Stefaniak M. (Yellow Cards) Vukancic N. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Campbell C. (Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Reitz T. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Health problems) Jessen N. (Health problems)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Borussia Dortmund II?

Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund II won against Erzgebirge Aue?

Borussia Dortmund II has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II were as follows:

24.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 3:1

27.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 2:2

25.11.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 2:0

15.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II 3:3

11.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1

Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue

12.04.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue 4:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Hansa Rostock - Erzgebirge Aue 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund II

13.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund II - Energie Cottbus 4:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Verl - Borussia Dortmund II 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt 3:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln 1:1 ✺

German 3 Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arminia Bielefeld ✔	37	20	9	8	63:36	27	69
2	SG Dynamo Dresden ✔	37	19	10	8	68:40	28	67
3	Cottbus	37	18	8	11	63:50	13	62
4	Saarbrucken	37	17	11	9	57:46	11	62
5	Hansa Rostock	37	18	6	13	53:44	9	60
6	Viktoria Koln	37	17	5	15	55:48	7	56
7	RW Essen	37	16	7	14	54:53	1	55
8	Verl	37	14	12	11	59:55	4	54
9	Wehen	37	14	10	13	57:59	-2	52
10	Munich 1860	37	15	7	15	56:60	-4	52
11	Ingolstadt	37	13	12	12	68:62	6	51
12	Alemannia Aachen	37	12	14	11	43:42	1	50
13	Aue	37	15	4	18	51:64	-13	49
14	VfL Osnabruck	37	13	9	15	46:52	-6	48
15	Mannheim	37	11	13	13	43:44	-1	46
16	Stuttgart II	37	12	10	15	48:58	-10	46
17	Dortmund II	37	11	10	16	52:58	-6	43
18	Sandhausen ✔	37	9	8	20	49:65	-16	35
19	Hannover II ✔	37	8	10	19	49:69	-20	34
20	Unterhaching ✔	37	4	13	20	40:69	-29	25

      Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Arminia Bielefeld is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
SG Dynamo Dresden is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
Sandhausen is Relegated to
Hannover II is Relegated to
Unterhaching is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball