Bordeaux Bègles vs Toulon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union French Top 14 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon
Result
39:24
21/06/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Top 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
53
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
21
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (15 - 10)
  • 6', Jalibert M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 9', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 19', Depoortere N. (Try),
  • 27', Lamothe M. (Try),
  • 28', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+2', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
  • 40+4', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (24 - 14)
  • 45', Lamothe M. (Try),
  • 45', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 50', Halagahu M. 🟨,
  • 53', Penaud D. (Try),
  • 53', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Lamothe M. (Try),
  • 55', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
  • 63', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Jalibert M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 80', Gigashvili B. (Try),
  • 80', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Bordeaux Bègles
59.6%
Draw
4.5%
Toulon
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 4.3% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.9% 4.1% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordeaux Bègles's form might have worsened.
  • Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bordeaux Bègles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.3)
    20.33
    (21.5)
    2.54
    (3.71)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bordeaux Bègles might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Bordeaux Bègles will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 418:534. (average 20.9:26.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bordeaux Bègles won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 273:232. (average 24.8:21.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles 27:10
    28.12.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 21:17
    04.02.2024 Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles 32:37
    03.09.2023 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 22:17
    28.05.2023 Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles 35:19
    Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
    Latest results of Toulon
    14.06.2025 Toulon - Castres 52:23
    07.06.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 18:10
    01.06.2025 Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles 27:10
    17.05.2025 Section Paloise - Toulon 25:21
    10.05.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 16:50
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Bye
    2Aviron Bayonnais (4)Clermont (5)20 : 3
    3Bordeaux Begles (2)Bye
    4RC Toulonnais (3)Castres Olympique (6)52 : 23

    Semi-finals
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Aviron Bayonnais (4)32 : 25
    2Bordeaux Begles (2)RC Toulonnais (3)39 : 24

    Final
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Bordeaux Begles (2)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
    franceFranceCANAL+ France
    peruPeruMovistar Deportes
    spainSpainM+ Deportes
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby
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