Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Derby County - Bolton Wanderers
Result
1:0
16/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39
  • Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)
Derby County - Bolton Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
41.4%
Draw
28.6%
Bolton Wanderers
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.8% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.8% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Derby County - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)
    3.31
    (3.48)
    3.15
    (3.56)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derby will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Derby won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    02.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Derby County 2:1
    21.01.2023 Derby County - Bolton Wanderers 2:1
    27.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Derby County 0:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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