Carlisle United vs Bolton Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers
Result
1:4
27/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Carlisle United
23.7%
Draw
26.8%
Bolton Wanderers
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 25.1% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 24.4% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (4.5)
    3.5
    (3.74)
    1.9
    (1.74)
    6.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 42%87.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Bolton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bolton is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    07.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Carlisle United 1:3
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster75119:5416
    3Huddersfield750214:8615
    4Stevenage65019:4515
    5Bradford City742111:9214
    6Barnsley641111:7413
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Lincoln733110:8212
    9Stockport County732212:11111
    10Bolton72419:6310
    11Mansfield731311:9210
    12Leyton Orient73139:12-310
    13Exeter73049:729
    14Wigan723210:919
    15AFC Wimbledon73048:9-19
    16Northampton62134:6-27
    17Rotherham62135:8-37
    18Plymouth72058:15-76
    19Wycombe71247:9-25
    20Reading61235:9-45
    21Burton51135:9-44
    22Blackpool61147:13-64
    23Port Vale70254:9-52
    24Peterborough70164:14-101

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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