Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

ENGLAND: League One - Round 36
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	0.62
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Goal Attempts
13	9
Shots on Goal
4	2
Shots off Goal
3	2
Blocked Shots
6	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	6
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
Free Kicks
10	13
Offsides
2	3
Fouls
13	10
Yellow Cards
4	2
Throw-ins
13	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
20	19
Passes
69% (209/301)	80% (371/465)
Passes in the final third
50% (55/111)	60% (58/96)
Crosses
39% (11/28)	13% (2/16)
Tackles
76% (16/21)	71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
14	34
Interceptions
7	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Morley A. ⚽, Thomason G. (A),
29', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
42', Armer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Sheehan J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. ⚽,
59', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Sheehan J. ⚽,
68', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Schon S. ↑,
68', McAtee J. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
76', Murphy A. 🟨,
79', Bennett M. 🟨,
83', Bennett M. ↓, Stretton J. ↑,
84', Burrell R. ↓, Chauke K. ↑,
89', Collins A. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
89', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Forino-Joseph C. ↑,
90+2', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
24.5%

Draw
27.4%

Bolton Wanderers
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4%)

Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.1)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	1.97 ↓ (2.21)	5.6% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Bolton will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 50.9% – 95.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 0.
Recent matches Burton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bolton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Burton have a series of guest games.
Bolton will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Inactive) Gilligan C. (Inactive) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Inactive) Dempsey K. (Inactive) Etete K. (Inactive) Santos R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: Jones G. (Inactive)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Burton won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Bolton Wanderers?

Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Burton Albion?

Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

19.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1

01.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 1:0

26.08.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

18.04.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

25.10.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1

Latest results of Burton Albion

04.03.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Burton Albion - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 0:1 ✺

18.02.2025 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 0:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

04.03.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers 0:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:3 ✺

11.02.2025 Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Luton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Which TV channels are streaming of Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: