Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers
Result
3:0
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.541.79
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
52% (119/230)74% (326/438)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.541.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.660.92
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
1114
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2142
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
52% (119/230)74% (326/438)
Long passes
22% (19/86)37% (33/89)
Passes in final third
46% (62/135)52% (69/132)
Crosses
21% (4/19)38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.04
Throw-ins
3131
Fouls
1113
Tackles
65% (13/20)67% (4/6)
Duels won
5564
Clearances
3754
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.922.66
Goals prevented
0.92-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Beesley J. (Pen),
  • 42', Cissoko I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Cissoko I. , Forss M. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Tavares F. ,
  • 66', Christie C. , Dacres-Cogley J. ,
  • 66', Dalby S. , McAtee J. ,
  • 79', Tavares F. , McKiernan J. J. ,
  • 80', Morley A. , Randall J. ,
  • 80', Conway M. , Taylor R. ,
  • 90+1', Williams D. , Taroni J. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Beesley J. , Lofthouse K. (A),
  • 90+8', Webster C. , Krubally S. ,
  • 90+8', Beesley J. , Williamson J. ,
  • 90+9', Forss M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
25.2%
Draw
26%
Bolton Wanderers
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.2% 23.9% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 23% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (4.61)
    3.87
    (3.9)
    2.17
    (1.67)
    -2.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
    • Burton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Evans G. (Ankle Injury) Newall J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Dacres-Cogley J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:2
    19.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1
    01.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 1:0
    26.08.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    18.04.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Stockport County1264218:14422
    5AFC Wimbledon1271417:13422
    6Lincoln1163217:10721
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1252511:16-517
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Leyton Orient1242620:22-214
    14Northampton114258:10-214
    15Port Vale1234511:11013
    16Exeter1241712:13-113
    17Wigan1234515:17-213
    18Plymouth1141616:19-313
    19Wycombe1233614:15-112
    20Burton1133510:15-512
    21Reading1125412:16-411
    22Rotherham1132611:16-511
    23Blackpool1222810:20-108
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Which TV channels are streaming of Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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