Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.14
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
78% (391/500)62% (184/297)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.53
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
10
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1715
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
78% (391/500)62% (184/297)
Long passes
28% (19/69)21% (17/80)
Passes in final third
64% (87/135)50% (74/149)
Crosses
27% (4/15)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.75
Fouls
710
Tackles
63% (12/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6340
Clearances Total
3818
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.530.95
Goals prevented
0.53-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Forrester W. , Thomason G. ,
  • 30', Butcher M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Forde S. 🟨,
  • 64', Dacres-Cogley J. , Jones G. ,
  • 65', Forde S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 65', Sawyers R. , Ward G. ,
  • 72', Morley A. , Matete J. ,
  • 72', Mendes C. , Dempsey K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Collins A. , Jones G. (A),
  • 77', Shaw K. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 77', O'Donkor G. , Thomas L. ,
  • 80', Moore T. , Hunt J. ,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
67.5%
Draw
19.5%
Bristol Rovers
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 22.8% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 21.9% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.48)
    4.9
    (4.03)
    7.25
    (6.06)
    5.9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
    • Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol Rovers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Santos R. (Lower Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Moore T. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2
    06.04.2024 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 0:2
    16.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:2
    07.05.2023 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 2:3
    02.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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