Barnsley vs Bolton Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.82
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
74% (260/352)81% (349/430)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.37
Total shots
517
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
313
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
74
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
74% (260/352)81% (349/430)
Long passes
42% (34/81)38% (29/76)
Passes in final third
54% (66/122)74% (108/145)
Crosses
38% (5/13)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.92
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1415
Tackles
92% (11/12)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
2830
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.370.72
Goals prevented
0.37-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Burstow M. 🟨,
  • 34', Yoganathan V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. , Connell L. (A),
  • 52', Yoganathan V. 🟨,
  • 57', McGoldrick D. , Kelly P. ,
  • 63', Randall J. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 64', Simons X. , Morley A. ,
  • 64', Dacres-Cogley J. , Osei-Tutu J. ,
  • 72', Gale T. , McAtee J. ,
  • 74', Bland J. , Watson T. ,
  • 80', Conway M. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, McAtee J. ,
  • 87', Vickers C. , Cleary R. ,
  • 87', Phillips A. , Farrugia N. ,
  • 90+4', Morley A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Farrugia N. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Cooper M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
32.5%
Draw
26.7%
Bolton Wanderers
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 26.4% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 26.5% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.82)
    3.54
    (3.59)
    2.33
    (2.36)
    6.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
    • Barnsley has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bolton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Roberts M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dalby S. (Inactive) Dempsey K. (Inactive) Forrester W. (Injury) Taylor R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers 4:1
    26.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley 1:2
    07.05.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley 2:3
    03.05.2024 Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers 1:3
    05.03.2024 Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers 2:2
    Latest results of Barnsley
    13.08.2025 Barnsley - Fleetwood Town 3:2
    09.08.2025 Barnsley - Burton Albion 3:2
    02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3
    22.07.2025 York City - Barnsley 2:2
    19.07.2025 Harrogate Town - Barnsley 0:3
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster64116:4213
    3Huddersfield540110:3712
    4Stevenage54018:4412
    5Bradford City53207:4311
    6Stockport County53119:6310
    7Barnsley53118:6210
    8Lincoln53117:5210
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Northampton51133:6-34
    18Rotherham51134:8-44
    19Blackpool51046:12-63
    20Plymouth61054:13-93
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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