Bologna vs Parma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

: Serie A - Round 24
Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.22	0.19
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
2	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
4	5
Passes
83% (323/390)	84% (317/378)
Yellow cards
1	3
Red cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.22	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	0.22
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
10	0
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
25	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
14	10
Passes
83% (323/390)	84% (317/378)
Long passes
53% (35/66)	57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
80% (137/172)	72% (64/89)
Crosses
31% (10/32)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.36
Throw ins
13	17
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
73% (8/11)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
44	30
Clearances
19	22
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.22	0.55
Goals prevented
0.22	0.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pobega T. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Joao Mario ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
49', Britschgi S. 🟨,
54', Oristanio G. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
57', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
61', Troilo M. 🟨,
68', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
76', Lucumi J. 🟨,
79', Sorensen O. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
79', Troilo M. 🟨,
86', Bernabe A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
87', Keita M. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
87', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
87', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Ordonez C. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),

Chances of winning

Bologna
58.3%

Draw
24.4%

Parma
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.5%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Bologna - Parma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	3.91 ↓ (4.05)	5.49 ↑ (5.47)	4.9% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bologna - Parma?

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Parma will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 47.9% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Parma (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Bologna (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Parma (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Parma (5.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 12 - 60%). Parma (votes: 4 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 3.
Bologna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Parma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive)
There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury) Valenti L. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Bologna: De Silvestri L. (Abdominal strain) Lucumi J. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Parma?

Bologna has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Bologna?

Parma has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Parma were as follows:

04.12.2025 Bologna - Parma 2:1

02.11.2025 Parma - Bologna 1:3

22.02.2025 Parma - Bologna 2:0

06.10.2024 Bologna - Parma 0:0

Latest results of Bologna

03.02.2026 Bologna - Milan 0:3 ✺

29.01.2026 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna 0:3 ✺

25.01.2026 Genoa - Bologna 3:2 ✺

22.01.2026 Bologna - Celtic 2:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Parma

01.02.2026 Parma - Juventus 1:4 ✺

25.01.2026 Atalanta - Parma 4:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Parma - Genoa 0:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Napoli - Parma 0:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Lecce - Parma 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	28	22	1	5	64:22	42	67
2	AC Milan	28	17	9	2	44:20	24	60
3	Napoli	28	17	5	6	43:29	14	56
4	Como	28	14	9	5	46:21	25	51
5	AS Roma	28	16	3	9	38:21	17	51
6	Juventus	28	14	8	6	50:28	22	50
7	Atalanta	28	12	10	6	39:26	13	46
8	Bologna	28	11	6	11	37:34	3	39
9	Sassuolo	28	11	5	12	35:38	-3	38
10	Lazio	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
11	Udinese	28	10	6	12	33:41	-8	36
12	Parma	28	8	10	10	20:32	-12	34
13	Genoa	28	7	9	12	34:40	-6	30
14	Cagliari	28	7	9	12	30:38	-8	30
15	Torino	28	8	6	14	28:49	-21	30
16	Lecce	28	7	6	15	20:37	-17	27
17	Fiorentina	28	5	10	13	30:42	-12	25
18	Cremonese	28	5	9	14	22:40	-18	24
19	Verona	28	3	9	16	22:49	-27	18
20	Pisa	28	1	12	15	20:48	-28	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Bologna - Parma?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Events
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Events
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Events, SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab