Result
1:1
06/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/321) | 80% (280/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/321) | 80% (280/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/109) | 63% (52/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Meza J. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
- 45+2', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gariglio I. ↓, Echeverria S. ↑,
- 66', Oyola B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 72', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 74', Meza J. ↓, Arace R. ↑,
- 74', Castellanos J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 78', Melgar C. A. ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
- 81', Ortiz G. 🟨,
- 84', Paz L. ↓, Cauteruccio M. ↑,
- 89', Londono F. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
- 90', Ibarra R. ↓, Da Silva C. ↑,
- 90', Faya C. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,
- 90+3', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Justiniano L. ⚽,
- 90+7', Uribe A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Guaira
29.5% | Draw
30.9% | Bolívar
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Guaira's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.45) |
3.05 ↓
(3.25) |
2.39 ↓
(2.73) |
5.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar?
- Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Deportivo La Guaira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo La Guaira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Deportivo La Guaira has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There are questionable in Deportivo La Guaira: Perdomo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo La Guaira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Bolívar?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Bolívar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar were as follows:
14.04.2026
Bolívar
-
Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Latest results of Bolívar
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 5 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 5 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter |
