Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
19/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.380.77
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
287
Shots on target
103
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
121
Passes
81% (314/386)78% (271/348)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.380.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.990.45
Total shots
287
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
143
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
144
Shots outside the box
143
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
378
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1514
Passes
81% (314/386)78% (271/348)
Long passes
48% (23/48)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
72% (123/170)68% (66/97)
Crosses
26% (9/34)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.97
Throw ins
2715
Fouls
1415
Tackles
40% (4/10)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
1063
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
29
xGOT faced
0.451.99
Goals prevented
-0.550.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Miguel Merentiel , Paredes L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Fagner 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Fagner , Kaiki (A),
  • 63', Bruno Rodrigues , Sinisterra L. ,
  • 68', Gerson 🟥,
  • 72', Belmonte T. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 73', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 75', Fagner , Kaua Moraes ,
  • 81', Kaio Jorge , Villarreal N. ,
  • 81', Matheus Pereira , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 83', Zeballos E. 🟨,
  • 85', Gimenez M. , Angel Romero ,
  • 90+7', Villarreal N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
47.1%
Draw
30.8%
Cruzeiro
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 29.6% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 31.8% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.95)
    3.05
    (3.2)
    4.28
    (4.31)
    6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro?
    • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -0.25 - Cruzeiro (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Ascacibar S. (Red Card) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Marchesin A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K. (Red Card) Cassio (Knee Injury) Kaua Prates (Inactive) Matheus Henrique (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    28.04.2026 Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors 1:0
    22.08.2024 Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors 3:1
    15.08.2024 Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    16.05.2026 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 1:1
    12.05.2026 Cruzeiro - Goiás 1:0
    09.05.2026 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ651014:21216
    2Estudiantes L.P62316:519
    3Ind. Medellin62136:11-57
    4Cusco60154:12-81


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo63128:6210
    2Deportes Tolima62227:618
    3Nacional62227:9-28
    4U. de Deportes61325:6-16


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia651015:6916
    2Fluminense62227:708
    3Bolivar61236:8-25
    4La Guaira60336:13-73


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica64118:4413
    2Cruzeiro63218:3511
    3Boca Juniors62136:517
    4Barcelona SC61052:12-103


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians63218:4411
    2Platense63128:7110
    3Santa Fe62226:7-18
    4Penarol60334:8-43


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno64116:2413
    2Palmeiras632110:5511
    3Sporting Cristal62046:9-36
    4Junior61145:11-64


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito64028:5312
    2Mirassol64027:4312
    3Lanus63033:7-49
    4Always Ready61057:9-23


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle641111:6513
    2Rosario Central64119:1813
    3Universidad Central63037:11-49
    4Libertad Asuncion60064:13-90

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
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    brazilBrazilParamount+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
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    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    germanyGermanySportdigital1+
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyComo TV
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    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
    worldWorldOnefootball, Pluto TV
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