Boavista vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Boavista - Porto
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 33
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
Boavista - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.27
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
04
Passes
80% (297/372)85% (461/543)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.41
Total shots
916
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1932
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
111
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
80% (297/372)85% (461/543)
Long passes
59% (29/49)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
61% (49/80)69% (92/134)
Crosses
6% (1/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.68
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1319
Tackles
57% (8/14)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.411.57
Goals prevented
-0.590.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Kakay O. 🟨,
  • 9', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Mora R. , Moura F. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Marcano I. , Perez N. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Reisinho M. (Pen),
  • 45+7', Anselmi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Mora R. , Pepê ,
  • 79', Joao Mario , Fernandes M. ,
  • 79', Eustaquio S. , Perez T. ,
  • 79', Agra S. , Ariyibi G. ,
  • 81', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 84', Samu , Otavio ,
  • 84', Vieira F. , Danny Namaso ,
  • 86', Ferreira F. , van Ginkel M. ,
  • 90+1', Reisinho M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fogning S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kakay O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Boavista
12.8%
Draw
19.6%
Porto
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 18.1% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 17.6% 73.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boavista - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.37
    (9.25)
    4.86
    (5.25)
    1.4
    (1.33)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Boavista - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Porto will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.1%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Boavista (votes: 2 - 40%). Porto (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Inactive) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Vukotic I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Porto: Costa D. (Buttock Injury) Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Sousa V. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Porto were as follows:
    28.12.2024 Porto - Boavista 4:0
    12.05.2024 Porto - Boavista 2:1
    05.01.2024 Boavista - Porto 1:1
    12.11.2022 Boavista - Porto 1:4
    Latest results of Boavista
    05.05.2025 AVS - Boavista 1:2
    27.04.2025 Boavista - Sporting Lisbon 0:5
    18.04.2025 Farense - Boavista 0:1
    12.04.2025 Boavista - Nacional 0:1
    07.04.2025 Rio Ave - Boavista 0:2
    Latest results of Porto
    02.05.2025 Porto - Moreirense 3:1
    26.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Porto 2:0
    18.04.2025 Porto - Famalicão 2:1
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Boavista - Porto?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, ZAP
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalRTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, SportKlub 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldTriller TV+
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