Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship
Soccer English League Championship Derby County - Blackburn Rovers
Result
2:1
08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 36
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Derby County - Blackburn Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.43
Ball Possession
31%69%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Free Kicks
1615
Offsides
13
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2218
Touches in the Opposition Box
2035
Passes
58% (124/212)83% (404/485)
Passes in the final third
47% (41/87)74% (93/125)
Crosses
21% (3/14)33% (8/24)
Tackles
31% (4/13)62% (8/13)
Clearances Total
2023
Interceptions
145

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Forsyth C. ⚽,
  • 7', 2 - 0, Adams E. ⚽, Yates J. (A),
  • 16', Kargbo A. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Gueye M. ⚽, Ohashi Y. (A),
  • 42', Brittain C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Langas S. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,
  • 64', Dolan T. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
  • 64', Ohashi Y. ↓, Cantwell T. ↑,
  • 70', Armstrong H. 🟨,
  • 73', Harness M. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
  • 74', Yates J. 🟨,
  • 81', Tronstad S. 🟨,
  • 82', Tronstad S. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
  • 84', Carter H. 🟨,
  • 86', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 87', Armstrong H. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
33.2%		Draw
31.8%		Blackburn Rovers
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 30% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blackburn Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blackburn Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Derby County - Blackburn Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.86 ↑
    (2.02)    		 3.01 ↓
    (3.35)    		 2.71 ↓
    (3.83)    		 5.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Blackburn Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Blackburn will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 35% – 88%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 0.
    • Derby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Blackburn is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Blackburn: Batth D. (Injury) Beck O. (Muscle Injury) Dennis E. (Red Card) Leonard H. (Injury) Pickering H. (Knee Injury) Weimann A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Blackburn: Wharton S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Derby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18:31 (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Blackburn Rovers - Derby County 4:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    01.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Derby County - Millwall 0:1 ✺
    14.02.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Derby County 4:0 ✺
    11.02.2025 Derby County - Oxford United 0:0 ✺
    08.02.2025 Norwich City - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
    01.03.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 3:0 ✺
    15.02.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺
    12.02.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers 0:2 ✺
    09.02.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Wolverhampton Wanderers 0:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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