Birmingham Legion vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic
Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.34
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
81% (305/375)80% (326/409)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.16
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
914
Passes
81% (305/375)80% (326/409)
Long passes
49% (33/68)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
63% (62/99)54% (38/71)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.26
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
149
Tackles
82% (9/11)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
2414
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.160.56
Goals prevented
0.16-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Mensah M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mensah M. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 65', Cicerone R. , Parano C. ,
  • 65', Wanner D. , Amann T. ,
  • 72', Willey B. , Lopez R. ,
  • 73', Benitez M. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 76', Paterson AJ , Suarez S. ,
  • 76', Trejo D. , Centeno E. ,
  • 76', Damus R. , Martinez E. ,
  • 84', Laszo E. , Preston T. ,
  • 89', Spaulding R. , Edwards A. ,
  • 90', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. , Pasher T. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
35.2%
Draw
28.7%
Sacramento Republic
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 26.1% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.8% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.34)
    3.24
    (3.52)
    2.57
    (2.64)
    7.8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
    • Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion 0:0
    12.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City16114129:121737
    2Charleston16112333:151835
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1472519:15423
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Detroit1555519:20-120
    7Miami FC1452715:20-517
    8Indy Eleven1445523:24-117
    9Rhode Island1544714:17-316
    10Birmingham1636716:22-615
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1481521:15625
    2San Antonio1573522:21124
    3El Paso1565424:22223
    4FC Tulsa1364317:11622
    5Sacramento Republic1455419:12720
    6Phoenix Rising1555524:25-120
    7Monterey Bay1654716:20-419
    8Las Vegas Lights1553710:20-1018
    9Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    10Oakland Roots1552816:23-717
    11Lexington1545616:22-617
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

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