Wrexham vs Birmingham City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Wrexham - Birmingham City
Result
1:1
03/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
Wrexham - Birmingham City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
74% (285/383)85% (465/550)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.28
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
84
Passes
74% (285/383)85% (465/550)
Long passes
45% (29/64)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
63% (80/128)55% (54/99)
Crosses
33% (5/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.75
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
48
Tackles
56% (9/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
2627
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.281.67
Goals prevented
0.280.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Dobson G. , Cleworth M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Roberts P. , Stansfield J. (A),
  • 65', Dykes L. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 70', Sheaf B. , James M. ,
  • 70', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 70', Gray D. , Anderson K. ,
  • 71', Roberts P. , Koumas L. ,
  • 81', Stansfield J. , Doyle T. ,
  • 84', Koumas L. 🟨,
  • 88', Hyam D. , Scarr D. ,
  • 88', Longman R. , McClean J. ,
  • 88', Kabore I. , Barnett R. ,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
30.8%
Draw
30.7%
Birmingham City
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.7% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.
  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Wrexham - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.6)
    3.11
    (3.34)
    2.51
    (2.59)
    5.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 16.3%56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 60%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Recent performances by Wrexham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Injury) Ducksch M. (Injury) Laird E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Birmingham City were as follows:
    23.01.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    16.09.2024 Birmingham City - Wrexham 3:1
    Latest results of Wrexham
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry954027:72019
    2Middlesbrough953112:6618
    3Leicester944113:8516
    4Preston944111:7416
    5Stoke943211:6515
    6QPR943213:14-115
    7West Brom94239:10-114
    8Millwall94239:12-314
    9Ipswich834115:8713
    10Bristol City934215:10513
    11Watford933311:11012
    12Swansea933310:10012
    13Charlton93338:8012
    14Portsmouth93338:9-112
    15Hull933314:16-212
    16Birmingham93338:11-312
    17Southampton925211:12-111
    18Wrexham924314:15-110
    19Norwich922511:14-38
    20Derby915311:15-48
    21Blackburn82157:11-47
    22Oxford Utd913510:13-36
    23Sheffield Wed91358:20-126
    24Sheffield Utd91083:16-133

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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