Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League One - Round 44
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (140/230) | 86% (620/724) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (140/230) | 86% (620/724) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 32% (20/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (49/109) | 57% (82/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 44', 0 - 1, Sampsted A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Stansfield J. ⚽, Dowell K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, May A. ↑,
- 66', Stansfield J. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 67', Leonard M. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
- 71', Godwin-Malife U. ↓, Delap F. ↑,
- 76', Chauke K. ↓, Bodvarsson J. ↑,
- 76', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Forde A. ↑,
- 77', Larsson J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 77', Sampsted A. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
- 84', Burrell R. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 84', Delap F. 🟨,
- 89', Anderson K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dowell K. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Tavares F. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
- 90+5', Klarer C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
21.8% | Draw
24.9% | Birmingham City
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↓
(6.03) |
3.74 ↓
(4.45) |
1.77 ↑
(1.5) |
6.2%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 50%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 1.
- Recent matches Burton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Birmingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Birmingham is a favorite.
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J.
(Injury)
Forde A.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K.
(Injury)
Hansson E.
(Knock)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Burton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Birmingham City?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Burton Albion?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Birmingham City were as follows:
26.12.2024
Birmingham City
-
Burton Albion
2:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Which TV channels are streaming of Burton Albion - Birmingham City?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
