BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000
Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 19
BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.39
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (372/454)64% (147/228)
Yellow Cards
64
Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.96
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
4113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
82% (372/454)64% (147/228)
Long passes
59% (35/59)28% (16/57)
Passes in final third
69% (111/161)61% (50/82)
Crosses
28% (9/32)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.60
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1710
Tackles
75% (9/12)40% (2/5)
Duels won
6044
Clearances
1753
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.961.46
Goals prevented
-0.040.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
  • 29', Anmanis 🟨,
  • 36', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Reingolcs R. , Anmanis (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Pulis I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lizunovs V. , Kone M. ,
  • 46', Murakami S. , Diedhiou B. ,
  • 46', Mihalcovs G. , Ivanovs E. ,
  • 46', Barkovskis N. , Diakite T. ,
  • 57', Kirss R. , Rogovs D. ,
  • 68', Taty C. 🟨,
  • 75', Dusalijevs N. , Sirbu D. ,
  • 84', Fofana W. , Galajs A. ,
  • 85', Joksts H. , Bekima B. ,
  • 87', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
  • 88', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
  • 88', Kudelkins A. 🟨,
  • 88', Rogovs D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Skrebels R. , Kone M. (A),
  • 90+4', Sturins R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kone M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BFC Daugavpils
57.5%
Draw
23.3%
Tukums 2000
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 24% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 19.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.
  • Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFC Daugavpils that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tukums 2000 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.74)
    3.93
    (3.8)
    4.79
    (3.84)
    9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000?
  • Users Predictions: BFC Daugavpils will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3.
    • Daugavpils has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tukums 2000 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Daugavpils is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:16. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils 0:0
    07.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 3:0
    21.09.2024 Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils 0:0
    03.07.2024 Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils 1:2
    12.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 4:1
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    Latest results of Tukums 2000
    17.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 1:1
    13.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga 2:4
    31.05.2025 Riga - Tukums 2000 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - RFS 2:5
    21.05.2025 Grobiņa - Tukums 2000 2:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC20163148:123651
    2RFS20151444:182646
    3FK Liepaja2095633:31232
    4Auda2094730:23731
    5BFC Daugavpils2075829:33-426
    6Jelgava2066819:20-124
    7Grobina20541120:39-1919
    8Super Nova2039825:30-518
    9Tukums 200020361120:39-1915
    10Metta20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

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