Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 28
Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.43
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
729
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
64% (192/298)86% (423/492)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.81
Total shots
729
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
313
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
119
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
1120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
64% (192/298)86% (423/492)
Long passes
33% (22/66)58% (32/55)
Passes in final third
43% (33/76)74% (98/132)
Crosses
25% (1/4)42% (11/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.22
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
1311
Tackles
82% (18/22)57% (4/7)
Duels won
6258
Clearances
2412
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.810.03
Goals prevented
0.810.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Volkovs K. 🟨,
  • 10', Mihalcovs G. , Saidy M. ,
  • 22', Anmanis 🟨,
  • 22', Kone M. 🟨,
  • 29', Kurokawa A. , Kirss R. ,
  • 31', Nagasawa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Nagasawa M. , Kholod A. ,
  • 69', Kone M. , Kumater S. ,
  • 74', Samoilovs B. , Putrans D. ,
  • 74', Derkach M. , Joksts H. ,
  • 83', Cucurs D. , Lizunovs V. ,
  • 83', Fofana W. , Promise V. ,
  • 83', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Minins J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tukums 2000
31%
Draw
26.5%
BFC Daugavpils
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 26.6% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 26.9% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.
  • BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BFC Daugavpils's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tukums 2000, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.5)
    3.45
    (3.49)
    2.15
    (2.56)
    9.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tukums 2000 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Daugavpils is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Daugavpils could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
    21.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 1:2
    30.04.2025 Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils 0:0
    07.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 3:0
    21.09.2024 Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils 0:0
    03.07.2024 Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils 1:2
    Latest results of Tukums 2000
    23.08.2025 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 1:1
    10.08.2025 Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga 1:0
    03.08.2025 Tukums 2000 - Riga 0:1
    26.07.2025 RFS - Tukums 2000 6:2
    21.07.2025 Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa 2:1
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC27224167:194870
    2RFS27221471:254667
    3FK Liepaja28145946:42447
    4BFC Daugavpils281171043:47-440
    5Auda281241235:31440
    6Jelgava28781326:35-929
    7Super Nova285111233:43-1026
    8Tukums 200028671529:50-2125
    9Grobina28651726:52-2623
    10Metta28561726:58-3221

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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