Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (224/335) | 74% (310/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (224/335) | 74% (310/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/83) | 48% (45/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (37/69) | 55% (63/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
- 37', Bekili P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Sdaigui Z. 🟨,
- 70', Kone M. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 79', Kalmarzy A. 🟨,
- 82', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 84', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 85', Skrebels R. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 0, Druzinins D. ⚽,
- 90', Diakite T. ↓, Kauselis K. ↑,
- 90', Taty C. ↓, Galajs A. ↑,
- 90+1', Kluskins G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
31.2% | Draw
26.7% | BFC Daugavpils
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(2.95) |
3.44 ↓
(3.45) |
2.18 ↑
(2.08) |
8.9%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2.
- Grobiņa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Daugavpils's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- Daugavpils might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 1.3:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Grobiņa?
BFC Daugavpils has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
11.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:2
14.09.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Grobiņa
4:0
27.06.2024
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:0
07.05.2024
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:3
16.03.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Grobiņa
2:0
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25:10 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Auda | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Jelgava | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:23 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Metta | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 11 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Grobina | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 8 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
