Marijampolė City vs BFA Vilnius: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Lithuanian Division 2 Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius
Result
0:0
30/08/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 21
Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Marijampolė City
34.9%
Draw
23.7%
BFA Vilnius
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 25.3% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 24.6% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marijampolė City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marijampolė City's performance.
  • BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFA Vilnius might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marijampolė City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BFA Vilnius could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (3.23)
    3.85
    (3.58)
    2.2
    (1.93)
    9.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
    • Recent matches Marijampolė City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • BFA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marijampolė City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • BFA will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Marijampolė City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius were as follows:
    15.04.2023 BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City 0:2
    Latest results of Marijampolė City
    Latest results of BFA Vilnius
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest24211268:175164
    2Neptunas24164452:203252
    3Tauras Taurage24156345:182751
    4BFA Vilnius24145538:241447
    5Babrungas24127545:321343
    6Zalgiris 224106843:40336
    7Jonava2497820:19134
    8Atmosfera241041037:29834
    9FK Minija24931222:34-1230
    10Kauno Zalgiris 224831336:40-427
    11Hegelmann Litauen 224751230:41-1126
    12Ekranas24721531:48-1723
    13Nevezis Kedainiai24641425:40-1522
    14FK Panevezys 224621624:59-3520
    15BE1 NFA24451520:47-2717
    16Siauliai 224521731:59-2817

          Promotion ~ A Lyga
          Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )
          I Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation

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