Benjamin Bonzi vs Shintaro Mochizuki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Indian Wells Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final
Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
38
1st serve percentage
67%49%
1st serve points won
72% (42/58)69% (34/49)
2nd serve points won
41% (12/29)46% (23/50)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)50% (6/12)
1st return points won
37% (18/49)28% (16/58)
2nd return points won
54% (27/50)59% (17/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)44% (4/9)
Winners
2234
Unforced errors
3946
Net points won
75% (9/12)74% (23/31)
Service Points Won
62% (54/87)58% (57/99)
Return Points Won
42% (42/99)38% (33/87)
Total Points Won
52% (96/186)48% (90/186)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
02
Service games won
73% (11/15)63% (10/16)
Return games won
38% (6/16)27% (4/15)
Total games won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Benjamin Bonzi
70.9%
Shintaro Mochizuki
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.49)

    3.24
    (2.48)
    5.9%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki?
    • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 100%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benjamin Bonzi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bonzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bonzi could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Benjamin Bonzi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)0 : 2
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Korda S.Comesana F.2 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)2 : 0
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)Borges N.2 : 0
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)0 : 2
    5Bublik A. (10)Kopriva V.2 : 1
    6Hijikata R.Darderi L. (20)2 : 1
    7Norrie C. (27)McDonald M.2 : 0
    8Korda S.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)2 : 0
    11Cerundolo F. (19)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    12Bautista-Agut R.Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)2 : 0
    15Humbert U. (32)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)1 : 2
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    18Prizmic D. (RET.)Fils A. (30)0 : 1
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.1 : 2
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.1 : 2
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)0 : 2
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 1
    2Vacherot V. (24)Ruud C. (13)1 : 2
    3Bublik A. (10)Hijikata R.1 : 2
    4Norrie C. (27)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 0
    5Djokovic N. (3)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Cerundolo F. (19)Draper J. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (11)Baez S.2 : 0
    8Michelsen A.Fritz T. (7)2 : 0
    9Fucsovics M.Fils A. (30)0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    11Cobolli F. (15)Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    12Nakashima B. (28)Zverev A. (4)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (8)Tien L. (25)1 : 2
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Fonseca J.Paul T. (23)2 : 0
    16Shapovalov D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (13)
    2Hijikata R.Norrie C. (27)
    3Djokovic N. (3)Draper J. (14)
    4Medvedev D. (11)Michelsen A.
    5Fils A. (30)Auger-Aliassime F. (9)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (21)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    7Tien L. (25)Davidovich Fokina A. (18)2 : 1
    8Fonseca J.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Fils A. (30)Zverev A. (4)
    4Tien L. (25)Sinner J. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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