Result
2:1
07/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (53/72) | 73% (35/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 60% (28/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 31% (22/72) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 45% (25/56) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 0% (0/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 59 | 48 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 82% (31/38) | 65% (13/20) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (84/128) | 66% (63/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (32/95) | 34% (44/128) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (116/223) | 48% (107/223) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (16/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 0% (0/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 42% (13/31) |
Chances of winning
Benjamin Bonzi
33.3% | Matteo Arnaldi
66.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.93) |
|
1.42 ↑
(1.42) |
5.1%
(4.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Bonzi is ranked ATP: 66. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 41.
- Bonzi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arnaldi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bonzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arnaldi is the team to beat.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Benjamin Bonzi won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Benjamin Bonzi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Benjamin Bonzi?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
Latest results of Benjamin Bonzi
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Galan D. E. (Q) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Baez S. | Goffin D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (30) | |
| 5 | Machac T. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Thompson J. | Mannarino A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Martinez P. | Jarry N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (13) | |
| 9 | Ruud C. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Rinderknech A. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. | Shang J. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | |
| 13 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Smith C. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bonzi B. | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Musetti L. (8) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Coric B. | Nava E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bergs Z. | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Sonego L. (31) | |
| 21 | Davidovich Fokina A. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Fonseca J. | Bu Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Atmane T. (Q) | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Cobolli F. (15) | |
| 25 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Carballes Baena R. | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Wong C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Humbert U. (20) | |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Moutet C. | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Safiullin R. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rune H. (7) | |
| 33 | Shelton B. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Altmaier D. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Norrie C. (32) | |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Boyer T. (WC) | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Walton A. | Navone M. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Medvedev D. (12) | |
| 41 | Khachanov K. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Ofner S. (PR) | Royer V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. (WC) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Cazaux A. (LL) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Bye | |
| 46 | Giron M. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Vukic A. (LL) | Basavareddy N. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Dellien H. | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Comesana F. | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Darderi L. (29) | |
| 53 | Popyrin A. (21) | Bye | |
| 54 | Landaluce M. (Q) | Kypson P. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Tien L. | Riedi L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Rublev A. (9) | |
| 57 | Mensik J. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Kecmanovic M. | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Nardi L. (LL) | Tirante T. A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (24) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (26) | Bye | |
| 62 | Medjedovic H. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bellucci M. | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Galan D. E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baez S. | Diallo G. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Machac T. (19) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Martinez P. | Paul T. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (11) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bonzi B. | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bergs Z. | Sonego L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Atmane T. | Cobolli F. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Wong C. | Humbert U. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Michelsen A. (28) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Safiullin R. | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Shelton B. (5) | Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. | Norrie C. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Lehecka J. (22) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Walton A. | Medvedev D. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (14) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Cazaux A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (27) | Blockx A. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Basavareddy N. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Comesana F. | Darderi L. (RET.) (29) | 1 : 0 |
| 27 | Popyrin A. (21) | Landaluce M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Nardi L. | Shapovalov D. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (26) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Dzumhur D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Diallo G. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. | Paul T. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. (RET.) | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Bonzi B. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (4) | Sonego L. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Humbert U. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. (28) | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (5) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Lehecka J. (22) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (14) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (27) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Opelka R. | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (21) | Rublev A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Mensik J. (RET.) (16) | Nardi L. | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Medjedovic H. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (4) | Atmane T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10) | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (5) | Lehecka J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (RET.) (14) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Comesana F. | Rublev A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Nardi L. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Rune H. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (5) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rublev A. (9) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (RET.) (1) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 0 |
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