Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Super Cup Sporting Lisbon - Benfica
Result
0:1
31/07/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Cup - Final
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
87% (376/431)84% (304/363)
Yellow Cards
46
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.79
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
87% (376/431)84% (304/363)
Long passes
55% (22/40)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
75% (71/95)66% (69/104)
Crosses
8% (1/12)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.27
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1514
Tackles
53% (9/17)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.790.85
Goals prevented
-0.210.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Dedic A. 🟨,
  • 29', Diomande O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ,
  • 53', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 69', Harder C. , Suarez L. ,
  • 69', Diomande O. , Debast Z. ,
  • 69', Morita H. , Kochorashvili G. ,
  • 73', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 73', Araujo M. , Quenda G. ,
  • 80', Barrenechea E. , Florentino ,
  • 80', Akturkoglu K. , Prestianni G. ,
  • 81', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 85', Catamo G. , Esgaio R. ,
  • 88', Pavlidis V. , Araujo H. ,
  • 88', Dedic A. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 90+1', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Trubin A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Barreiro L. , Veloso J. ,
  • 90+9', Veloso J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Prestianni G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
33.6%
Draw
28.4%
Benfica
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.52)
    3.32
    (3.36)
    2.49
    (2.79)
    5.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Benfica will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Benfica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.
    • Benfica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Alisson Santos (Suspended) Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Suspended) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Injury) Felix N. (Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Benfica were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2
    29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0
    06.04.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 2:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Benfica
    26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    28.06.2025 Benfica - Chelsea 1:4
    24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0
    20.06.2025 Benfica - Auckland City 6:0
    16.06.2025 Boca Juniors - Benfica 2:2
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1Sporting CPBenfica0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Lisbon - Benfica?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, ZAP
    angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
    austriaAustriaLaola1
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    germanyGermanyLaola1
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hungaryHungarySport 1
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyComo TV
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    portugalPortugalRTP 1, RTPi, Sport TV1
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, SportKlub 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1
    ukraineUkraineMaincast
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaMeridiano
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