Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras).

: Taça de Portugal - Final

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	2.42
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
14	19
Shots on target
8	10
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
7	8
Passes
77% (355/459)	81% (448/554)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	2.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.47	2.70
Total shots
14	19
Shots on target
8	10
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
8	14
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
7	8
Touches in opposition box
28	31
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
14	25
Passes
77% (355/459)	81% (448/554)
Long passes
52% (30/58)	53% (37/70)
Passes in final third
66% (96/146)	72% (102/142)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	1.11
Throw-ins
20	19
Fouls
25	14
Tackles
68% (15/22)	64% (14/22)
Duels won
68	68
Clearances
26	32
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	7
xGOT faced
2.70	1.47
Goals prevented
-0.30	0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Dahl S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Kokcu O. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
54', Carreras A. 🟨,
58', Debast Z. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
65', Kokcu O. 🟨,
69', Kokcu O. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
69', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
75', Catamo G. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
75', Goncalves P. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
77', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
77', Araujo T. ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
78', Harder C. 🟨,
83', Quaresma E. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
83', St. Juste J. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
85', Araujo M. 🟨,
90+1', Bruma ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
90+2', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
Extra Time (0 - 2)
99', 1 - 2, Harder C. ⚽, Trincao (A),
101', Quenda G. 🟨,
103', Dahl S. ↓, Di Maria A. ↑,
113', Soares S. 🟨,
115', Araujo M. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
120+1', 1 - 3, Trincao ⚽, Harder C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Benfica
33.2%

Draw
30.4%

Sporting Lisbon
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3%)

Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.42)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.63 ↓ (2.88)	5.6% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Benfica - Sporting Lisbon?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Estádio Nacional do Jamor.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 1.
Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Benfica: Amdouni Z. (Injury) Aursnes F. (Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Simoes J. (Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Sporting: Diomande O. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.2:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?

Benfica has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?

Sporting Lisbon has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:

10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1

11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2

29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0

06.04.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 2:1

02.04.2024 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 2:2

Latest results of Benfica

17.05.2025 Braga - Benfica 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Benfica 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Benfica - AVS 6:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Benfica - Tirsense 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Sporting Lisbon

17.05.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Boavista - Sporting Lisbon 0:5 ✺

22.04.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺

Draw

2024/25

1/128-finals

1	Varzim	Bye
2	Bye	Ferreiras
4	Bye	Boavista
5	Leca	AD Marco 09	2 : 3
6	Bye	O Elvas CAD
7	Academica	SB Castelo Branco	2 : 0
8	Bye	Torreense
9	Peniche	Bye
10	Bye	Pacos Ferreira
12	Bye	Vitoria Guimaraes
13	Camacha	Bye
14	Bye	Leiria
16	Bye	Nacional
17	Marinhense	Bye
18	Caldas	Uniao Da Serra	1 : 0
19	Tirsense	Bye
20	Vieira	Pedras Salgadas	2 : 0
21	Brito	Maia	2 : 1
22	Abrantes Benfica	Operario	0 : 2
23	Moura AC	Portel	1 : 0
24	Bye	Castrense
25	Covilha	Bye
26	Pedrogao SP	Pombal	1 : 3
27	Moncarapachense	Grandolense	3 : 0
28	Louletano	Esperanca de Lagos	3 : 0
29	Os Marialvas	Bye
30	Bye	Tondela
31	Rebordosa	Juventude Gaula	3 : 0
32	Bye	GD Braganca
33	CD Lajense	Bye
34	Maria de Fonte	Cardielense	2 : 1
36	Bye	Arouca
37	Fatima	Bye
38	Figueirense	Sanjoanense	0 : 5
40	Bye	SC Farense
41	Pevidem	Bye
42	Bye	Maritimo
44	Bye	Benfica
45	Vila Cortez	Anadia	2 : 4
46	Bye	CD Rabo Peixe
48	Bye	Estrela
49	Guarda FC	Estarreja	5 : 4
50	Bye	Leixoes
51	Alcains	Bye
52	C.F. Benfica	Industria	4 : 3
53	1u00ba Dezembro	Bye
54	Bye	Oliveirense
56	Bye	Braga
57	Lusitano GC	Bye
58	Bye	Academico Viseu
60	Bye	Estoril
61	Ferreira Zezere	Ac. Fundao	2 : 0
62	Bye	Os Sandinenses
64	Bye	AFS
65	CF Os Gavionenses	Arronches Benfica	0 : 3
66	SC Vila Real	GD Joane	1 : 0
67	Academica Coimbra	Bye
68	Bye	Atletico Arcos
69	Viana A.	Os Belenenses	1 : 2
70	Bye	Trofense
72	Bye	Gil Vicente
73	Santarem	Sacavenense	2 : 0
74	Bye	Desportivo Moncao
76	Bye	Moreirense
77	Sintrense	Bye
78	FC Madalena	Estrela Vendas Novas	0 : 2
80	Bye	FC Porto
81	SC Vianense	Vinhais	2 : 1
82	Bye	Portimonense
84	Bye	Sporting CP
85	Electrico	Bye
86	AD Fafe	Amarante	1 : 4
87	Lajense	Bye
88	Bye	Fabril do Barreiro
89	Lagoa	Bye
90	Uniao de Coimbra	Beira Mar	3 : 2
92	Bye	Famalicao
93	Gondomar	Bye
94	Alianca de Gandra	Salgueiros	2 : 1
96	Bye	Santa Clara
97	Amora	Bye
98	Bye	Felgueiras
100	Bye	Casa Pia
101	Valpacos	AD Limianos	3 : 5
102	Bye	Chaves
103	Lusitania FC	Uniao Lamas	2 : 1
104	Bye	Vizela
105	Coimbroes	Bye
106	Bye	Alverca
107	Pero Pinheiro	Bye
108	Bye	Feirense
109	Atletico CP	Bye
110	Oliveira de Frades	Mortagua	0 : 3
112	Bye	Rio Ave
113	Oliveira Hospital	Bye
114	Machico	Macedo de Cavaleiros	3 : 0
115	Montijo	Bye
116	Bye	Mafra
117	FC Alpendorada	Bye
118	Vieirense	Sertanense	1 : 4
119	Cinfaes	GD Resende	3 : 0
120	Bye	FC Barreirense
121	Tocha	Bye
122	Bye	Penafiel
123	Sao Roque	SC Lusitania	1 : 2
124	Velense	Regua	1 : 2
125	Ovarense	Sao Joao Ver	1 : 2
126	Praia Milfontes	Serpa	0 : 5
127	Paredes	Bye
128	Dumiense	Vilaverdense	2 : 3

1/64-finals

1	Varzim	Ferreiras	3 : 0
2	Bye	Boavista
3	AD Marco 09	O Elvas CAD	0 : 1
4	Academica	Torreense	0 : 1
5	Peniche	Pacos Ferreira	0 : 2
6	Bye	Vitoria Guimaraes
7	Camacha	Leiria	0 : 2
8	Bye	Nacional
9	Marinhense	Caldas	0 : 1
10	Tirsense	Vieira	2 : 0
11	Brito	Operario	1 : 0
12	Moura AC	Castrense	4 : 2
13	Covilha	Pombal	4 : 0
14	Moncarapachense	Louletano	2 : 1
15	Os Marialvas	Tondela	2 : 1
16	Rebordosa	GD Braganca	2 : 1
17	CD Lajense	Maria de Fonte	0 : 1
18	Bye	Arouca
19	Fatima	Sanjoanense	0 : 1
20	Bye	SC Farense
21	Pevidem	Maritimo	2 : 1
22	Bye	Benfica
23	Anadia	CD Rabo Peixe	3 : 0
24	Bye	Estrela
25	Guarda FC	Leixoes	0 : 1
26	Alcains	C.F. Benfica	4 : 1
27	1u00ba Dezembro	Oliveirense	2 : 1
28	Bye	Braga
29	Lusitano GC	Academico Viseu	2 : 1
30	Bye	Estoril
31	Ferreira Zezere	Os Sandinenses	1 : 2
32	Bye	AFS
33	Arronches Benfica	SC Vila Real	0 : 1
34	Academica Coimbra	Atletico Arcos	1 : 2
35	Os Belenenses	Trofense	3 : 0
36	Bye	Gil Vicente
37	Santarem	Desportivo Moncao	2 : 1
38	Bye	Moreirense
39	Sintrense	Estrela Vendas Novas	2 : 1
40	Bye	FC Porto
41	SC Vianense	Portimonense	1 : 3
42	Bye	Sporting CP
43	Electrico	Amarante	0 : 2
44	Lajense	Fabril do Barreiro	2 : 1
45	Lagoa	Uniao de Coimbra	2 : 0
46	Bye	Famalicao
47	Gondomar	Alianca de Gandra	1 : 0
48	Bye	Santa Clara
49	Amora	Felgueiras	1 : 0
50	Bye	Casa Pia
51	AD Limianos	Chaves	0 : 2
52	Lusitania FC	Vizela	4 : 3
53	Coimbroes	Alverca	2 : 3
54	Pero Pinheiro	Feirense	1 : 0
55	Atletico CP	Mortagua	3 : 0
56	Bye	Rio Ave
57	Oliveira Hospital	Machico	2 : 0
58	Montijo	Mafra	1 : 2
59	FC Alpendorada	Sertanense	3 : 0
60	Cinfaes	FC Barreirense	3 : 2
61	Tocha	Penafiel	1 : 4
62	SC Lusitania	Regua	2 : 1
63	Sao Joao Ver	Serpa	1 : 0
64	Paredes	Vilaverdense	3 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Varzim	Boavista	1 : 0
2	O Elvas CAD	Torreense	3 : 2
3	Pacos Ferreira	Vitoria Guimaraes	1 : 3
4	Leiria	Nacional	2 : 1
5	Caldas	Tirsense	1 : 2
6	Brito	Moura AC	1 : 0
7	Covilha	Moncarapachense	3 : 2
8	Os Marialvas	Rebordosa	1 : 2
9	Maria de Fonte	Arouca	0 : 5
10	Sanjoanense	SC Farense	2 : 4
11	Pevidem	Benfica	0 : 2
12	Anadia	Estrela	1 : 3
13	Leixoes	Alcains	2 : 1
14	1u00ba Dezembro	Braga	1 : 2
15	Lusitano GC	Estoril	1 : 0
16	Os Sandinenses	AFS	0 : 2
17	SC Vila Real	Atletico Arcos	2 : 0
18	Os Belenenses	Gil Vicente	0 : 2
19	Santarem	Moreirense	1 : 2
20	Sintrense	FC Porto	0 : 3
21	Portimonense	Sporting CP	1 : 2
22	Amarante	Lajense	6 : 1
23	Lagoa	Famalicao	0 : 2
24	Gondomar	Santa Clara	0 : 1
25	Amora	Casa Pia	0 : 5
26	Chaves	Lusitania FC	2 : 0
27	Alverca	Pero Pinheiro	3 : 0
28	Atletico CP	Rio Ave	1 : 3
29	Oliveira Hospital	Mafra	1 : 0
30	FC Alpendorada	Cinfaes	1 : 2
31	Penafiel	SC Lusitania	2 : 3
32	Sao Joao Ver	Paredes	4 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Varzim	O Elvas CAD	1 : 2
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	Leiria	2 : 0
3	Tirsense	Brito	1 : 0
4	Covilha	Rebordosa	2 : 3
5	Arouca	SC Farense	1 : 2
6	Benfica	Estrela	7 : 0
7	Leixoes	Braga	0 : 2
8	Lusitano GC	AFS	3 : 2
9	SC Vila Real	Gil Vicente	0 : 2
10	Moreirense	FC Porto	2 : 1
11	Sporting CP	Amarante	6 : 0
12	Famalicao	Santa Clara	0 : 1
13	Casa Pia	Chaves	3 : 0
14	Alverca	Rio Ave	2 : 3
15	Oliveira Hospital	Cinfaes	4 : 2
16	SC Lusitania	Sao Joao Ver	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	O Elvas CAD	Vitoria Guimaraes	2 : 1
2	Tirsense	Rebordosa	1 : 0
3	SC Farense	Benfica	1 : 3
4	Braga	Lusitano GC	2 : 1
5	Gil Vicente	Moreirense	1 : 0
6	Sporting CP	Santa Clara	2 : 1
7	Casa Pia	Rio Ave	1 : 3
8	Oliveira Hospital	Sao Joao Ver	1 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	O Elvas CAD	Tirsense	0 : 2
2	Benfica	Braga	1 : 0
3	Gil Vicente	Sporting CP	0 : 1
4	Rio Ave	Sao Joao Ver	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Tirsense	Benfica	0 : 4, 0 : 5
2	Sporting CP	Rio Ave	2 : 1, 2 : 0

Final

1

Benfica

Sporting CP

1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Benfica - Sporting Lisbon?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Life, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 4
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Portugal	RTP 1, RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Meridiano
World	Triller TV+