Result
27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Benfica
57.5% | Draw
23.8% | Fenerbahçe
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Benfica - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.87) |
4.04 ↑
(3.8) |
5.1 ↑
(4.1) |
4.4%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Benfica - Fenerbahçe?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
- Benfica has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fenerbahçe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Benfica has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Fenerbahçe?
Benfica has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Benfica?
Fenerbahçe has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
20.08.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Benfica
0:0
26.07.2025
Benfica
-
Fenerbahçe
3:2
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
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