Benfica vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Benfica - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Benfica - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.930.26
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
194
Shots on Goal
110
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
42
Free Kicks
77
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
687601
Completed Passes
595527
Clearances Completed
77
Crosses Completed
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 23', Aursnes F. 🟨,
  • 33', Llorente M. , Molina N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Griezmann A. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 46', de Paul R. , Serrano J. ,
  • 46', Koke , Gallagher C. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 60', Alvarez J. , Simeone G. ,
  • 60', Pavlidis V. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 70', Serrano J. 🟨,
  • 71', Di Maria A. , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 71', Akturkoglu K. , Beste J. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Bah A. , Beste J. (A),
  • 83', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 83', Mandava R. 🟨,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Kokcu O. (Pen),
  • 85', Bah A. , Silva A. ,
  • 86', Kokcu O. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 90+5', Correa A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
35.8%
Draw
28.8%
Atlético Madrid
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 27.7% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 28.9% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benfica - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.02)
    3.34
    (3.47)
    2.74
    (2.37)
    3.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 51.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%66.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Aursnes F. (Injury) Bah A. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    28.09.2024 Benfica - Gil Vicente 5:1
    23.09.2024 Boavista - Benfica 0:3
    14.09.2024 Benfica - Santa Clara 4:1
    30.08.2024 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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