Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Challenge League Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge
Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Round 9
  • Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.24
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (354/415)85% (370/436)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.71
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
85% (354/415)85% (370/436)
Long passes
44% (16/36)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)67% (56/83)
Crosses
34% (10/29)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.38
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1411
Tackles
88% (22/25)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5851
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.710.73
Goals prevented
-1.290.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Traore B. , Bua K. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 2, Bua K. ,
  • 45', Lasso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 3, Itaitinga ,
  • 58', Traore B. , Patricio A. ,
  • 58', Bua K. , Caslei B. ,
  • 60', Jaiteh M. , Mayorga J. ,
  • 60', Lymann F. , Rey A. ,
  • 63', Goncalves M. 🟨,
  • 75', Ricardo Alves , Hysenaj F. ,
  • 75', Itaitinga , Maouche Y. ,
  • 82', Bomo J. , Grano A. ,
  • 83', Sadiku A. , Philipona N. ,
  • 85', Philippin R. , Neves D. ,

Chances of winning


Bellinzona
39.2%
Draw
29%
Étoile Carouge
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28.9% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.2% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.47)
    3.18
    (3.22)
    2.9
    (2.8)
    8.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bellinzona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Bellinzona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Étoile has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D. (Injury) Lopez B. (Yellow Cards) Tutonda D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B. (Inactive) Diallo M. M. (Injury) Harrington F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bellinzona: Bomo J. (Injury) Mayorga J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Étoile: Rufli V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona 7:0
    22.02.2025 Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge 0:0
    22.11.2024 Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona 2:2
    03.08.2024 Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge 1:1
    Latest results of Bellinzona
    27.09.2025 Wil 1900 - Bellinzona 0:0
    26.08.2025 Bellinzona - Yverdon 0:0
    22.08.2025 Vaduz - Bellinzona 6:0
    Latest results of Étoile Carouge
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarau980120:81224
    2Yverdon961218:81019
    3Vaduz953119:81118
    4Lausanne Ouchy943214:12215
    5Xamax942316:13314
    6Stade Nyonnais932413:15-211
    7Etoile-Carouge92259:12-38
    8Rapperswil-Jona92169:15-67
    9Wil91267:18-115
    10Bellinzona90455:21-164

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ Promotion League

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