Aarau vs Bellinzona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Challenge League Aarau - Bellinzona
Result
1:0
13/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Round 1
  • Referee: von Mandach J. (Sui)
Aarau - Bellinzona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.93
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (294/384)78% (290/374)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.21
Total shots
912
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2923
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
77% (294/384)78% (290/374)
Long passes
49% (26/53)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
56% (72/128)66% (61/93)
Crosses
29% (2/7)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.12
Throw-ins
3023
Fouls
1617
Tackles
59% (13/22)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6552
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.211.31
Goals prevented
0.210.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Fazliu V. (Pen),
  • 63', Mayorga J. , Chouik I. ,
  • 66', Kessler R. , Schwegler S. ,
  • 66', Zoukit N. 🟨,
  • 72', Lopez B. 🟨,
  • 73', Vogt W. , Jashari E. ,
  • 76', Filet E. , Koide H. ,
  • 76', Derbaci D. , Frokaj L. ,
  • 84', Sorensen A. 🟨,
  • 86', Afriyie D. , Bobadilla R. ,
  • 86', Zoukit N. , Jakob N. ,
  • 89', Rey A. , Jaiteh M. ,
  • 90+3', Chouik I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aarau
62%
Draw
22%
Bellinzona
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.2% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarau's performance.
  • Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bellinzona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Aarau - Bellinzona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.87)
    4.2
    (3.67)
    5.77
    (3.63)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aarau - Bellinzona?
  • Users Predictions: Aarau will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aarau will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 2.
    • Aarau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aarau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aarau has had a series of away games.
    • Aarau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bellinzona: Diarra I. (Injury) Sangare M. (Injury) Sorensen A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Bellinzona were as follows:
    31.03.2025 Bellinzona - Aarau 1:1
    01.02.2025 Aarau - Bellinzona 2:1
    09.11.2024 Bellinzona - Aarau 1:4
    31.08.2024 Aarau - Bellinzona 1:2
    26.04.2024 Aarau - Bellinzona 0:2
    Latest results of Aarau
    10.08.2025 Aarau - Al-Hilal 0:6
    09.08.2025 Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax 2:0
    01.08.2025 Wil 1900 - Aarau 1:3
    19.07.2025 Thun - Aarau 4:1
    11.07.2025 VfB Stuttgart II - Aarau 1:4
    Latest results of Bellinzona
    23.05.2025 Schaffhausen - Bellinzona 1:3
    16.05.2025 Bellinzona - Thun 3:1
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarau440011:5612
    2Vaduz431012:21010
    3Yverdon430111:479
    4Xamax42118:537
    5Lausanne Ouchy41217:705
    6Stade Nyonnais41126:9-34
    7Wil41123:8-54
    8Rapperswil-Jona41032:6-43
    9Etoile-Carouge40132:5-31
    10Bellinzona40133:14-111

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ Promotion League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Aarau - Bellinzona?
    It is being streamed on channel
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
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