Bellinzona vs Aarau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Challenge League Bellinzona - Aarau
Result
1:1
31/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Round 28
  • Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
Bellinzona - Aarau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.07
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
69% (216/311)72% (256/358)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.92
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3219
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
69% (216/311)72% (256/358)
Long passes
40% (23/58)31% (21/67)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)52% (61/117)
Crosses
34% (10/29)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.54
Fouls
1613
Tackles
84% (26/31)63% (17/27)
Duels won
6058
Clearances Total
3527
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.921.27
Goals prevented
-0.080.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', Sabbatini J. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Muller S. (Pen),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Nivokazi R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dickenmann M. , Kessler R. ,
  • 49', Lusuena N. 🟨,
  • 61', Krasniqi J. 🟨,
  • 69', Toure Y. , Essiam E. ,
  • 69', Lusuena N. , Perrault T. ,
  • 76', Nkama J. 🟨,
  • 79', Souza Espana C. , Chacon T. ,
  • 82', Fazliu V. , Filet E. ,
  • 82', Koide H. , Bobadilla R. ,
  • 89', Fofana M. , Jackle O. ,

Chances of winning


Bellinzona
28.6%
Draw
28.3%
Aarau
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 28.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 28.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Bellinzona - Aarau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.89)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    2.14
    (2.34)
    8.5%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Aarau?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Aarau will win! (16 of 19 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 3.
    • Bellinzona has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Aarau is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aarau will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C. (Injury) Diarra I. (Injury) Matondo H. (Yellow Cards) Sangare M. (Injury) Sorensen A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bellinzona: Souza Espana C. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bellinzona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.5:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Aarau were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Aarau - Bellinzona 2:1
    09.11.2024 Bellinzona - Aarau 1:4
    31.08.2024 Aarau - Bellinzona 1:2
    26.04.2024 Aarau - Bellinzona 0:2
    29.03.2024 Bellinzona - Aarau 5:2
    Latest results of Bellinzona
    16.03.2025 Vaduz - Bellinzona 2:0
    08.03.2025 Bellinzona - Wil 1900 0:3
    Latest results of Aarau
    28.03.2025 Aarau - Étoile Carouge 2:2
    16.03.2025 Wil 1900 - Aarau 0:1
    07.03.2025 Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax 2:0
    01.03.2025 Aarau - Schaffhausen 3:0
    23.02.2025 Vaduz - Aarau 0:1
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 35209669:393069
    2Aarau ✔ 351612762:441860
    3Etoile-Carouge351591158:461254
    4Vaduz3513121048:47151
    5Lausanne Ouchy3513111152:43950
    6Wil3513111157:53450
    7Xamax351251855:62-741
    8Bellinzona3510111443:58-1541
    9Stade Nyonnais351052043:68-2535
    10Schaffhausen ✔ 35772139:66-2725

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ Promotion League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
    Aarau is Qualified for Super League (Promotion )
    Schaffhausen is Relegated to Promotion League
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bellinzona - Aarau?
    It is being streamed on channel
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
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