Belarus vs San Marino, UEFA Nations League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Nations League Belarus - San Marino
Result
4:0
03/10/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3
  • Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)
Belarus - San Marino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.100.77
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
64
Passes
84% (413/489)71% (239/337)
Yellow cards
35
Expected goals (xG)
1.100.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.49
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
2016
Passes
84% (413/489)71% (239/337)
Long passes
68% (46/68)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
76% (128/168)59% (44/75)
Crosses
17% (4/23)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.82
Throw ins
2324
Fouls
1620
Tackles
54% (7/13)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5948
Clearances
2135
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.491.84
Goals prevented
0.49-2.16
Goal kicks
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Nanni N. 🟨,
  • 42', Golinucci A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Golinucci A. ↓, Mularoni M. ↑,
  • 46', Simanenka T. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
  • 46', 1 - 0, Kontsevoy A. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
  • 54', Begunov R. 🟨,
  • 55', Begunov R. ↓, Kalinin V. ↑,
  • 55', Gromyko V. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
  • 58', Giacopetti N. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Shumansky A. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
  • 67', Giocondi S. ↓, Tosi A. ↑,
  • 67', Lazzari L. ↓, Pancotti S. ↑,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Ebong M. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
  • 69', Ebong M. ↓, Bocherov V. ↑,
  • 73', Capicchioni L. 🟨,
  • 74', Melnichenko T. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
  • 75', Benvenuti G. ↓, Fabbri F. ↑,
  • 78', Pasolini M. 🟨,
  • 83', Capicchioni L. ↓, Meloni C. ↑,
  • 85', Barkovskiy G. 🟨,
  • 86', Kalinin V. 🟨,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Kontsevoy A. ⚽, Shumansky A. (A),

Chances of winning


Belarus
88.3%
Draw
8.6%
San Marino
3.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84.8% 11.5% 3.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belarus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • San Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Belarus - San Marino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.08 ↓
    (1.14)
    11.31 ↑
    (8.4)
    31.57 ↑
    (26)
    4.5%
    (3.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Belarus - San Marino?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Belarus will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). San Marino will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Belarus: 54% – 99.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Belarus (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 3.5 - under (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2.5 - Belarus (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3 - over (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Belarus (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.
    • Belarus is ranked FIFA: 96., and San Marino is ranked FIFA: 211..
    • The betting markets point to Belarus as the clear and undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Belarus has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:0 (averaging 3.5:0 goals per game).
    Latest results of Belarus
    29.09.2026 Finland - Belarus 0:0 ✺
    26.09.2026 Albania - Belarus 2:0 ✺
    09.06.2026 Belarus - Burkina Faso 2:2 ✺
    05.06.2026 Belarus - Syria 4:1 ✺
    29.03.2026 Armenia - Belarus 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of San Marino
    29.09.2026 San Marino - Albania 0:3 ✺
    26.09.2026 San Marino - Finland 0:7 ✺
    09.06.2026 Azerbaijan - San Marino 2:1 ✺
    05.06.2026 San Marino - Bangladesh 1:2 ✺
    31.03.2026 San Marino - Andorra 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Nations League Table
    League A

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France43107:2510
    2Italy42118:537
    3Belgium42026:516
    4Turkey40042:11-90


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Netherlands42207:528
    2Greece42205:328
    3Germany41213:215
    4Serbia40043:8-50


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain ✔ 440012:5712
    2England430114:3119
    3Croatia41034:14-103
    4Czech Republic40042:10-80


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal ✔ 44009:4512
    2Denmark42027:706
    3Wales41032:5-33
    4Norway41036:8-23

          Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
          Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Belarus - San Marino?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 5
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belarusBelarusSport TV
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go, SportKlub 12
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    estoniaEstoniaGo3 Extra Sports
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    lithuaniaLithuaniaGo3 Extra Sports
    mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 5
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    peruPeruDisney+
    romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    san-marinoSan-marinoSan Marino RTV
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 5
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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