Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Super League - Round 12
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (721/781) | 74% (179/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (721/781) | 74% (179/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (48/68) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (172/202) | 52% (30/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', Kartsev E. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Lin Liangming ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 44', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Guga (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zhang Yuan ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 46', 2 - 1, Dugalic R. ⚽,
- 60', Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Guga ⚽,
- 76', Serginho ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
- 76', Cao Yongjing ↓, Spajic U. ↑,
- 76', Wang Qiao 🟨,
- 77', Abduweli Behram ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
- 77', Nan Song ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
- 83', Lin Liangming ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
- 83', Wang Gang ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 88', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
- 88', Yang Yiming ↓, Shen H. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
76.8% | Draw
15.3% | Shenzhen Peng City
7.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.34) |
6.12 ↑
(5.13) |
11.91 ↑
(7.98) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13).
- Beijing Guoan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Shenzhen Peng City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shenzhen Peng City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
Spajic U.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Jiang Zhipeng
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Beijing Guoan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Beijing Guoan?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:
26.07.2024
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Beijing Guoan
1:0
09.04.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Shenzhen Peng City
1:2
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 17 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
Which TV channels are streaming of Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
