Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua
Result
1:3
19/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 17
  • Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)
Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.974.75
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
2432
Shots on target
214
Big Chances
010
Corner Kicks
164
Passes
85% (1050/1230)72% (354/494)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.974.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.145.80
Total shots
2432
Shots on target
214
Shots off target
128
Blocked Shots
1010
Shots inside the Box
1224
Shots outside the Box
128
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
010
Corner Kicks
164
Touches in opposition box
5852
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
46
Free Kicks
2830
Passes
85% (1050/1230)72% (354/494)
Long passes
75% (114/152)32% (38/118)
Passes in final third
74% (340/462)56% (58/104)
Crosses
13% (10/78)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.182.02
Throw-ins
3626
Fouls
3028
Tackles
48% (20/42)38% (12/32)
Duels won
11492
Clearances
22102
Interceptions
2034
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
80
xGOT faced
5.800.14
Goals prevented
-0.20-1.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Asue L. , Gao Tianyi (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Wu Xi ,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Guga ,
  • 35', Yang Haoyu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yang Haoyu , Xu Haoyang ,
  • 46', Gao Tianyi , Amadou I. ,
  • 51', Wang Gang 🟨,
  • 59', Asue L. , Liu Chengyu ,
  • 62', Yennaris N. 🟨,
  • 77', Cao Yongjing , Lin Liangming ,
  • 77', Wang Gang , Fang Hao ,
  • 77', Liu Chengyu , Yu Hanchao ,
  • 78', Serginho , Zhang Xizhe ,
  • 78', Dawhan , Fan Shuangjie ,
  • 90', Wu Shaocong , Muhmet N. ,
  • 90', Chan Shinichi , Yang Zexiang ,
  • 90+5', Yu Hanchao 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 3, Yu Hanchao , Wu Xi (A),

Chances of winning


Beijing Guoan
43.1%
Draw
27.9%
Shanghai Shenhua
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 30.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 30% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.
  • Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.49)
    3.38
    (3.1)
    3.19
    (2.97)
    6.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua?
  • Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
    • Beijing Guoan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Shanghai Shenhua has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:2
    22.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:1
    04.08.2024 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1
    13.04.2024 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 1:1
    19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 2:1
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng25166350:193154
    2Shanghai Port25166360:362454
    3Shanghai Shenhua25156453:302351
    4Beijing Guoan25146553:371648
    5Shandong Taishan25126756:401642
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger25117735:32340
    7Zhejiang Professional25108751:391238
    8Dalian Yingbo2496924:34-1033
    9Yunnan Yukun25871038:49-1131
    10Qingdao West Coast2479831:37-630
    11Henan Songshan Longmen25851245:43229
    12Wuhan Three Towns25661330:51-2124
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng25621729:53-2420
    14Qingdao Hainiu24381323:37-1417
    15Changchun Yatai25451622:41-1917
    16Meizhou Hakka24451529:51-2217

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

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