Beerschot Wilrijk vs Lierse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenger Pro League - Round 4
  • Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)
Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.75
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
79% (243/307)78% (242/310)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.25
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1919
Passes
79% (243/307)78% (242/310)
Long passes
45% (26/58)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
66% (52/79)61% (60/98)
Crosses
26% (5/19)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.71
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
2118
Tackles
61% (14/23)68% (13/19)
Duels won
6765
Clearances
5124
Interceptions
210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.251.00
Goals prevented
0.250.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Shoffner J. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, van La Parra R. ,
  • 45+3', Mbe Soh L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', van La Parra R. 🟨,
  • 58', Sy M. , Gboua Y. ,
  • 62', Van Himbeeck A. , Khetir C. ,
  • 64', Jordanov E. 🟨,
  • 74', van La Parra R. , Brahic E. ,
  • 74', Jordanov E. , Gyamfi D. ,
  • 77', De Buyser W. , Van Meirvenne C. ,
  • 85', Claes G. , Plat B. ,
  • 85', Guendouz S. , Vargas O. ,

Chances of winning


Beerschot Wilrijk
59.2%
Draw
22.5%
Lierse
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 21% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 20.4% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beerschot Wilrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.48)
    4.07
    (4.4)
    5.12
    (5.65)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Beerschot Wilrijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Beerschot Wilrijk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Beerschot Wilrijk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beerschot Wilrijk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk
    Latest results of Lierse
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    30.07.2025 Thes Sport - Lierse 0:2
    27.07.2025 Lierse - Berchem 0:1
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