Bayer Leverkusen vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BayArena (Leverkusen).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.47	2.81
Ball Possession
29%	71%
Total shots
6	24
Shots on target
3	8
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
85% (268/316)	94% (729/773)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47	2.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.30	3.86
Total shots
6	24
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
0	11
Shots inside the Box
4	14
Shots outside the Box
2	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
10	42
Accurate through passes
1	3
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
6	8
Passes
85% (268/316)	94% (729/773)
Long passes
53% (20/38)	68% (21/31)
Passes in final third
60% (33/55)	89% (178/200)
Crosses
50% (1/2)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	2.24
Throw-ins
10	10
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
54% (7/13)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
26	40
Clearances
11	3
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
3.86	1.30
Goals prevented
-3.14	-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Pacho W. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
24', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
25', Grimaldo A. (Pen),
31', Andrich R. 🟥,
37', Zabarnyi I. 🟥,
38', 1 - 1, Garcia A. (Pen),
41', 1 - 2, Doue D. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
43', Echeverri C. 🟨,
44', 1 - 3, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽,
45+1', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 4, Doue D. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Echeverri C. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
46', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
50', 1 - 5, Mendes N. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
52', Kofane C. M. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
54', 2 - 5, Garcia A. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
63', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
63', Mayulu S. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
63', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
66', 2 - 6, Dembele O. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
72', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
76', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
81', Fernandez E. ↓, Mensah J. ↑,
90', 2 - 7, Vitinha ⚽,

Chances of winning

Bayer Leverkusen
5%

Draw
17.6%

Paris Saint-Germain
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

22.9%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21.9%

60.5%

Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	28.78 ↑ (4.97)	7.58 ↑ (4.19)	1.53 ↓ (1.66)	-17.7% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Bayer (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - PSG (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (79 of 92 users predict this - 85.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.75% – 92.99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 45 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 3 - 6.7%). PSG (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Bayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, PSG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Hofmann J. (Inactive) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Inactive) Tillman M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Neves J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Bayer: Quansah J. (Muscle Injury) Schick P. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
Including home match between the teams, Bayer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Bayer Leverkusen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Paris Saint-Germain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4 ✺

04.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 2:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

17.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺

05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre 2:0 ✺

22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23:4	19	24
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22:8	14	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20:8	12	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17:7	10	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22:14	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17:10	7	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17:11	6	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15:9	6	16
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21:12	9	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15:7	8	15
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21:11	10	14
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17:7	10	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14:10	4	13
14	Atl. Madrid	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10:10	0	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13:14	-1	12
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19:17	2	11
18	Olympiacos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10:14	-4	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	3	1	4	15:17	-2	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9:11	-2	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8:14	-6	10
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	13:21	-8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14:15	-1	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10:12	-2	9
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11:14	-3	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
27	Royale Union SG	8	3	0	5	8:17	-9	9
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	16:16	0	8
29	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12:21	-9	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8:21	-13	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10:21	-11	4
34	Slavia Prague	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5:18	-13	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7:22	-15	1

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	HBO Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ 360
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus