Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.56
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
87% (490/565)81% (314/387)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.61
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
87% (490/565)81% (314/387)
Long passes
50% (21/42)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
72% (85/118)67% (64/96)
Crosses
8% (2/24)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.46
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
917
Tackles
75% (6/8)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4834
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.611.31
Goals prevented
-0.390.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Quansah J. , Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Asllani F. , Toure B. (A),
  • 37', Kramaric A. 🟨,
  • 42', Machida K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Machida K. , Arthur Chaves ,
  • 45+2', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arthur , Poku E. ,
  • 46', Burger W. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Lemperle T. , Asllani F. (A),
  • 75', Hranac R. , Akpoguma K. ,
  • 75', Lemperle T. , Prass A. ,
  • 84', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
  • 84', Maza I. , Echeverri C. ,
  • 85', Tella N. , Kofane C. M. ,
  • 88', Coufal V. , Promel G. ,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
59.7%
Draw
21.6%
Hoffenheim
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 19.7% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 22.1% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.5)
    4.51
    (4.87)
    5.34
    (5.83)
    3.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 65.7%89.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5.
    • Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bayer has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bayer is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Muscle Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tillman M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Broken Leg) Kabak O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Bade L. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Bayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim 3:1
    14.09.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4
    30.03.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim 2:1
    04.11.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    11.02.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    16.08.2025 Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim 0:4
    01.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:3
    01.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:1
    26.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Darmstadt 3:1
    23.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Homburg 4:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22009:276
    2Eintracht Frankfurt22007:256
    3St. Pauli21105:324
    4Wolfsburg11003:123
    5Augsburg21015:413
    6Union Berlin11002:113
    7FC Koln11001:013
    8Stuttgart21012:203
    9Hoffenheim21013:4-13
    10RB Leipzig21012:6-43
    11Dortmund10103:301
    12Bayer Leverkusen20114:5-11
    13B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    14Hamburger SV20110:2-21
    15Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    16Mainz10010:1-10
    17Freiburg10011:3-20
    18Heidenheim20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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