Bay of Plenty vs Tasman: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Bay of Plenty - Tasman
11/10/2025 at 00:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Bay of Plenty - Tasman - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Bay of Plenty
55.8%
Draw
4%
Tasman
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 4.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 4.1% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bay of Plenty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Bay of Plenty - Tasman Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.71)
    22.5
    (21)
    2.27
    (2.22)
    9.9%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bay of Plenty won 2.
    • Bay of Plenty is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tasman is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bay of Plenty may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Bay of Plenty will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bay of Plenty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 167:239. (average 18.6:26.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bay of Plenty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 119:102. (average 29.8:25.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bay of Plenty - Tasman were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Bay of Plenty - Tasman 37:7
    31.08.2024 Tasman - Bay of Plenty 34:15
    30.09.2023 Bay of Plenty - Tasman 41:12
    Latest results of Bay of Plenty
    03.10.2025 Wellington - Bay of Plenty 26:33
    27.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Waikato 41:5
    21.09.2025 Manawatu - Bay of Plenty 19:55
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    Latest results of Tasman
    04.10.2025 Tasman - Counties Manukau 41:49
    26.09.2025 Southland - Tasman 38:55
    20.09.2025 Tasman - Waikato 24:29
    13.09.2025 Canterbury - Tasman 31:25
    07.09.2025 Tasman - Auckland 21:29
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    Main
    PlWDLPts
    1Canterbury10811326:16842
    2Otago10802338:24841
    3Bay of Plenty10703320:17836
    4Hawke's Bay10703322:22635
    5Taranaki10604318:22932
    6Tasman10505324:29030
    7Waikato10604234:29129
    8Counties Manukau10505335:31827
    9Northland10514222:23425
    10Wellington10307321:33721
    11Manawatu10307247:40318
    12Auckland10208253:37916
    13Southland10307211:36616
    14North Harbour10109206:31010

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