Bay FC vs Portland Thorns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer NWSL Bay FC - Portland Thorns
Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
  • Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
Bay FC - Portland Thorns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.08
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
75% (277/369)77% (330/427)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.92
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1931
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
75% (277/369)77% (330/427)
Long passes
37% (21/57)26% (15/58)
Passes in final third
63% (52/83)61% (75/123)
Crosses
33% (4/12)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.50
Throw-ins
2926
Fouls
1212
Tackles
46% (12/26)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5755
Clearances
5224
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.920.43
Goals prevented
0.92-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Brewster J. , Hubly K. ,
  • 33', Oshoala A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Malonson A. , Hocking P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Linnehan P. , Tordin P. ,
  • 63', Alidou d'Anjou M. , Turner R. ,
  • 71', Oshoala A. , Kundananji R. ,
  • 71', Huff T. , Bailey D. ,
  • 71', Bebar H. , Pickett K. ,
  • 78', Torpey K. , Fleming J. ,
  • 78', Hocking P. , Boade T. ,
  • 80', Pickett K. 🟨,
  • 84', Hanks C. , Spaanstra A. ,

Chances of winning


Bay FC
28%
Draw
25.6%
Portland Thorns
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 27.8% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Bay FC - Portland Thorns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3)
    3.56
    (3.25)
    1.97
    (2.15)
    9.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland Thorns is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Portland Thorns has had a series of away games.
    • Portland Thorns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bay FC - Portland Thorns were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Portland Thorns - Bay FC 1:3
    01.05.2024 Bay FC - Portland Thorns 2:3
    Latest results of Bay FC
    24.05.2025 Houston Dash - Bay FC 2:2
    17.05.2025 Bay FC - Angel City 2:0
    04.05.2025 San Diego Wave - Bay FC 2:1
    26.04.2025 Bay FC - Seattle Reign 1:1
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W12100228:101830
    2Orlando Pride W1281320:81225
    3San Diego Wave W1272325:16923
    4Washington Spirit W1271421:19222
    5Portland Thorns W1254318:12619
    6Seattle Reign W1253413:12118
    7Racing Louisville W1252517:22-517
    8Gotham W1243516:12415
    9Bay FC W1243513:15-215
    10Angel City W1243520:23-315
    11North Carolina Courage W1243516:19-315
    12Houston Dash W1232712:20-811
    13Chicago W1213810:26-166
    14Utah Royals W1212910:25-155

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bay FC - Portland Thorns?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
    usaUsaion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV
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