Bath vs La Rochelle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup Bath - La Rochelle
Result
20:24
06/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1
Bath - La Rochelle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
23
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
21
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 21)
  • 5', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
  • 18', Jegou O. (Try),
  • 18', West I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Latu S. (Try),
  • 28', West I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
  • 32', Kerr-Barlow T. (Try),
  • 33', West I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 3)
  • 48', Dunn T. (Try),
  • 50', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Roux Q. (Try),
  • 57', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', West I. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bath
55.1%
Draw
4.5%
La Rochelle
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 4.7% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 4.7% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath's form might have worsened.
  • La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Rochelle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Rochelle than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Rochelle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bath - La Rochelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.49)
    20.43
    (19.68)
    2.32
    (2.8)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Bath - La Rochelle?
    The most likely score is 21:19. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Bath in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches La Rochelle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bath will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Bath to win the game is with odds 1.68.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Bath won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:39 (average 7:13).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Bath
    30.11.2024 Bath - Exeter Chiefs 19:15
    23.11.2024 Bedford Blues - Bath 7:21
    09.11.2024 Bath - Bristol Rugby 78:19
    02.11.2024 Ampthill - Bath 0:73
    26.10.2024 Bath - Sale Sharks 40:13
    Latest results of La Rochelle
    30.11.2024 La Rochelle - Vannes 14:23
    23.11.2024 Castres - La Rochelle 28:24
    02.11.2024 La Rochelle - Stade Français 35:18
    26.10.2024 Montpellier - La Rochelle 16:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LeinsterHarlequins62 : 0
    2Glasgow WarriorsLeicester Tigers43 : 19
    3Northampton SaintsClermont46 : 24
    4Castres OlympiqueBenetton39 : 37
    5Bordeaux BeglesUlster43 : 31
    6Stade RochelaisMunster24 : 25
    7RC ToulonnaisSaracens72 : 42
    8Stade ToulousainSale Sharks38 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1LeinsterGlasgow Warriors52 : 0
    2Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique51 : 16
    3Bordeaux BeglesMunster47 : 29
    4RC ToulonnaisStade Toulousain18 : 21

    Semi-finals
    1LeinsterNorthampton Saints34 : 37
    2Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain35 : 18

    Final
    1Northampton SaintsBordeaux Begles
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