Bastia vs Pau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Bastia - Pau
Result
1:1
24/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
Bastia - Pau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.53
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
81
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
2212
Offsides
31
Fouls
1222
Yellow Cards
17
Throw-ins
2326
Touches in the Opposition Box
2115
Passes
84% (371/443)69% (176/255)
Passes in the final third
59% (68/116)49% (32/65)
Crosses
23% (6/26)30% (3/10)
Tackles
88% (15/17)77% (17/22)
Clearances Total
1521
Interceptions
711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Mohamed I. 🟨,
  • 26', Guidi D. , Roncaglia A. ,
  • 29', Kalulu J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Koudou T. , Ruiz J. (A),
  • 54', Koudou T. 🟨,
  • 54', Maggiotti J. 🟨,
  • 60', Ruiz J. 🟨,
  • 68', Akueson G. , Ble M. ,
  • 68', Meynadier T. , Maggiotti J. ,
  • 69', Tramoni L. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Arconte T. ,
  • 77', Beusnard S. , Bobichon A. ,
  • 80', Gaspar J. 🟨,
  • 80', Janneh J. , Boumaaoui M. A. ,
  • 83', Mboup P. , Diawara K. ,
  • 90+3', Mohamed I. , Kouassi L.X. ,
  • 90+11', Boutaib K. 🟨,
  • 90+13', 1 - 1, Maggiotti J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Bastia
48.5%
Draw
27.9%
Pau
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 26.6% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 27.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Bastia - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.91)
    3.36
    (3.52)
    4.01
    (3.84)
    5.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 40.8%79.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bastia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Boumaaoui M. A. (Injury) Guevara J. (Injury) Tomi F. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Pau were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Pau - Bastia 1:1
    10.05.2024 Pau - Bastia 1:2
    26.09.2023 Bastia - Pau 1:4
    20.05.2023 Pau - Bastia 2:6
    13.01.2023 Bastia - Pau 1:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    17.01.2025 Amiens - Bastia 1:0
    14.01.2025 Bastia - Nice 0:1
    11.01.2025 Bastia - Ajaccio 4:0
    03.01.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 3:2
    20.12.2024 Bastia - Saint-Joseph 5:0
    Latest results of Pau
    17.01.2025 Red Star - Pau 1:3
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    04.01.2025 Metz - Pau 0:0
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    06.12.2024 Rodez - Pau 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Pau?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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