Lorient vs Bastia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Lorient - Bastia
Result
4:0
15/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
Lorient - Bastia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lorient - Bastia live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.55
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
109
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
15
Blocked Shots
30
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
21
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1819
Offsides
21
Fouls
1918
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1826
Touches in the Opposition Box
237
Passes
83% (364/438)82% (343/417)
Passes in the final third
73% (60/82)49% (44/90)
Crosses
15% (2/13)50% (4/8)
Tackles
75% (12/16)64% (9/14)
Clearances Total
1221
Interceptions
1713

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Avom A. , Pagis P. (A),
  • 38', Katseris P. 🟨,
  • 39', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Boutrah A. , Ble M. ,
  • 46', Janneh J. , Etoga L. ,
  • 50', Talbi M. 🟨,
  • 65', Inao Oulai C. , Vincent C. ,
  • 66', Cisse L. , Aiki A. ,
  • 68', Kroupi E. J. , Bamba M. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Katseris P. , Bamba M. (A),
  • 76', Katseris P. , Mvuka Mugisha J. ,
  • 77', Soumano S. , Mendy F. ,
  • 77', Sebas J. 🟨,
  • 84', Pagis P. , Fadiga B. ,
  • 84', Meynadier T. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Yongwa D. , Bamba M. (A),

Chances of winning


Lorient
52.9%
Draw
27.2%
Bastia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 26.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 28.5% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Lorient - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.72)
    3.46
    (3.51)
    4.72
    (4.99)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
  • What is the prediction for Lorient - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: Lorient will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 1.
    • Recent matches Lorient is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bastia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bastia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lorient is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Kalulu G. (Injury) Ponceau J. (Injury) Tosin A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Maggiotti J. (Injury) Mazikou S. (Injury) Roncaglia A. (Inactive) Tomi F. (Injury) Tramoni L. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Bastia were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Bastia - Lorient 0:0
    21.01.2023 Bastia - Lorient 1:2 pen.
    Latest results of Lorient
    08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2
    01.03.2025 Lorient - Rodez 3:1
    22.02.2025 Lorient - Laval 0:1
    14.02.2025 Troyes - Lorient 0:1
    08.02.2025 Lorient - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    14.02.2025 Clermont - Bastia 1:1
    07.02.2025 Rodez - Bastia 0:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lorient - Bastia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan