Bastia vs Grenoble: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Bastia - Grenoble
Result
2:3
25/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
Bastia - Grenoble - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.22
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
89% (475/533)79% (215/272)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.98
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
119
Passes
89% (475/533)79% (215/272)
Long passes
66% (31/47)56% (31/55)
Passes in final third
74% (123/166)71% (53/75)
Crosses
19% (6/31)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.42
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
911
Tackles
86% (12/14)72% (18/25)
Duels won
5158
Clearances
1541
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.981.65
Goals prevented
-1.02-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', Akueson G. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Valls T. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Vincent C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', Akueson G. , Roncaglia A. ,
  • 65', Elphege N. , Jabbari A. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Jabbari A. ,
  • 78', Vincent C. , Tomi F. ,
  • 78', Olaitan J. , Zahui N. ,
  • 78', Diaby Y. , Sylvestre E. ,
  • 78', Inao Oulai C. , Maggiotti J. ,
  • 82', Jabbari A. 🟨,
  • 84', Sebas J. , Ble M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Cisse L. , Tomi F. (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Sylvestre E. ,
  • 90+3', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Delos S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bastia
63.9%
Draw
21.8%
Grenoble
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.1% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 23.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
  • Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Bastia - Grenoble Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.63)
    4.32
    (3.88)
    6.57
    (5)
    5.5%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Grenoble?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
    • Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Grenoble is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Bastia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Etoga L. (Injury) Guevara J. (Injury) Tramoni L. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Allain B. (Inactive) Diarra M. (Inactive) Diba S. (Inactive) Jabbari A. (Inactive) Mbemba N. (Injury) Mendy A. (Inactive) Nestor L. (Knee Injury) Touray S. (Inactive)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.1:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Grenoble were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 3:2
    02.03.2024 Bastia - Grenoble 1:0
    02.09.2023 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    28.01.2023 Grenoble - Bastia 0:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1
    28.03.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 2:0
    15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0
    Latest results of Grenoble
    18.04.2025 Dunkerque - Grenoble 2:0
    12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2
    04.04.2025 Laval - Grenoble 1:2
    29.03.2025 Grenoble - Lorient 1:2
    14.03.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Grenoble?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
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