Bastia vs Caen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Bastia - Caen
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
Bastia - Caen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Bastia - Caen live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.21
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
244
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
84% (306/365)85% (343/404)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.28
Total shots
244
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
172
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
346
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
811
Passes
84% (306/365)85% (343/404)
Long passes
66% (31/47)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)62% (43/69)
Crosses
36% (10/28)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.17
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
118
Tackles
80% (12/15)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4935
Clearances
631
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.281.39
Goals prevented
-0.72-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Lebreton N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Guidi D. , Ducrocq T. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Najim I. , Brahimi B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ntim E. , Verhaeghe R. ,
  • 47', Le Bihan M. 🟨,
  • 61', Le Bihan M. , Ba Loua A. ,
  • 61', Grandsir S. , Autret M. ,
  • 64', Sebas J. , Ble M. ,
  • 64', Bohnert F. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Ariss Z. , Tomi F. (A),
  • 74', Brahimi B. , Rajot L. ,
  • 74', Najim I. , Tome G. ,
  • 77', Inao Oulai C. , Vincent C. ,
  • 77', Cisse L. , Tramoni L. ,
  • 86', Boutrah A. , Boumaaoui M. A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3xn6r7dy

Chances of winning


Bastia
64.3%
Draw
20.7%
Caen
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 21.5% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
  • Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bastia - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.62)
    4.54
    (3.9)
    6.27
    (5.16)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Caen?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Bastia will win! (19 of 20 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Caen is Relegated to National
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
    • Bastia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Caen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bastia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Aiki A. (Injury) Akueson G. (Injury) Etoga L. (Injury) Guevara J. (Injury) Janneh J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Caen: Gaucho Debohi D. (Injury) Henry V. (Inactive) Lecoeuche Q. (Inactive) Ntim E. (Thigh Injury) Rajot L. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Caen: Autret M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Caen were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Caen - Bastia 2:0
    23.01.2024 Bastia - Caen 1:2
    02.12.2023 Caen - Bastia 1:0
    03.02.2023 Caen - Bastia 3:1
    26.12.2022 Bastia - Caen 1:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1
    Latest results of Caen
    02.05.2025 Caen - Red Star 1:1
    26.04.2025 Lorient - Caen 4:0
    18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3
    11.04.2025 Rodez - Caen 2:2
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Caen?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan