Bastia vs Caen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Bastia 61.2%

Draw 22%

Caen 16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Bastia 57.9%

Draw 24%

Caen 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Bastia 51.9%

Draw 21.5%

Caen 20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Bastia - Caen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	4.22 ↑ (3.9)	5.56 ↑ (5.16)	7.1% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Bastia - Caen?

The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Bastia will win! (8 of 8 users predict this).

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
Caen is Relegated to National
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
Recent performances by Bastia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Caen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Caen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bastia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Caen?

Bastia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Bastia?

Caen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Caen were as follows:

02.11.2024 Caen - Bastia 2:0

23.01.2024 Bastia - Caen 1:2

02.12.2023 Caen - Bastia 1:0

03.02.2023 Caen - Bastia 3:1

26.12.2022 Bastia - Caen 1:0

Latest results of Bastia

02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Caen

02.05.2025 Caen - Red Star 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Lorient - Caen 4:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Rodez - Caen 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lorient ✔	33	21	5	7	63:30	33	68
2	Paris FC ✔	33	20	6	7	53:33	20	66
3	Metz ✔	33	17	11	5	61:32	29	62
4	Dunkerque ✔	33	17	4	12	46:39	7	55
5	Guingamp	33	16	4	13	54:44	10	52
6	Laval	33	14	8	11	42:35	7	50
7	Annecy	33	13	9	11	39:42	-3	48
8	Grenoble	33	13	7	13	42:41	1	46
9	Bastia	33	10	15	8	41:36	5	45
10	Amiens	33	13	4	16	38:49	-11	43
11	AC Ajaccio	33	12	6	15	30:40	-10	42
12	Pau FC	33	10	12	11	38:50	-12	42
13	Troyes	33	12	5	16	35:34	1	41
14	Rodez	33	9	11	13	55:53	2	38
15	Red Star	33	9	10	14	36:50	-14	37
16	Clermont	33	7	11	15	29:45	-16	32
17	Martigues	33	9	5	19	28:51	-23	32
18	Caen ✔	33	5	7	21	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lorient is Qualified for Ligue 1
Paris FC is Qualified for Ligue 1
Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
Dunkerque is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caen is Relegated to National

Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Caen?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: