Result
2:5
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Super League - Championship Group - Round 35
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (419/492) | 72% (176/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 3.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (419/492) | 72% (176/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (48/69) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (129/166) | 61% (43/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.80 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Bislimi U. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Ajeti Al. ⚽,
- 33', Ajeti Al. 🟨,
- 42', Ajeti Al. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 48', 1 - 2, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Metinho (A),
- 51', 1 - 3, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Schmid D. (A),
- 55', Mai L. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 55', El Wafi A. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 55', Cimignani Y. ↓, Macek R. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 4, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Kade A. (A),
- 59', Steffen R. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 5, Leroy L. ⚽,
- 65', Brault-Guillard Z. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 5, Grgic A. (Pen),
- 71', Otele P. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 71', Traore B. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 75', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 75', Grgic A. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 79', Koutsias G. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 84', Kade A. ↓, Barisic A. L. ↑,
- 90', Shaqiri X. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 90', Leroy L. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugano
32.7% | Draw
24.6% | Basel
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Lugano - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.5) |
3.83 ↑
(3.8) |
2.21 ↓
(2.4) |
6.3%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lugano - Basel?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3.
- Lugano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Basel is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Basel has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Belhadj M.
(Knee Injury)
Bottani M.
(Yellow Cards)
Papadopoulos A.
(Yellow Cards)
Valenzuela M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Basel: Avdullahu L.
(Yellow Cards)
Ruegg K.
(Inactive)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Basel?
Lugano has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Lugano?
Basel has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Basel were as follows:
06.04.2025
Basel
-
Lugano
2:0
19.01.2025
Lugano
-
Basel
2:2
27.07.2024
Basel
-
Lugano
1:2
02.04.2024
Lugano
-
Basel
2:0
28.02.2024
Basel
-
Lugano
2:3
Swiss Super League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Basel ✔ | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 87:43 | 44 | 70 |
| 2 | Servette | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
| 4 | Lugano | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 54:57 | -3 | 53 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 6 | Luzern | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 66:60 | 6 | 52 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Basel is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - Basel?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub 6 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
