Copenhagen vs Basel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Parken Stadium (Copenhagen).

: Champions League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	1.30
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	21
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
78% (313/402)	86% (462/535)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.80	1.43
Total shots
11	21
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
1	10
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
3	12
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
17	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
15	25
Passes
78% (313/402)	86% (462/535)
Long passes
47% (27/58)	50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
67% (89/132)	80% (117/147)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	1.40
Throw-ins
11	18
Fouls
25	15
Tackles
59% (17/29)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
68	69
Clearances
31	23
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
1.43	2.80
Goals prevented
1.43	0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Cornelius A. ⚽, Achouri E. (A),
61', Achouri E. ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
64', Mattsson M. ↓, Clem W. ↑,
69', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
79', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
79', Soticek M. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
80', Larsson J. ↓, Robert ↑,
81', Cornelius A. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Moukoko Y. (Pen),
85', Claesson V. 🟨,
87', Shaqiri X. ↓, Kaio Eduardo ↑,

Chances of winning

Copenhagen
57.8%

Draw
23.6%

Basel
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Copenhagen - Basel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.04)	4.03 ↑ (3.63)	5.05 ↑ (3.65)	5.2% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Copenhagen - Basel?

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 67 - 67.7%). Basel will win (votes: 24 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 58.5% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Basel (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
Recent performances by Copenhagen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Basel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Copenhagen is the team to beat.
There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Hamstring Injury) Delaney T. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery) Onugkha G. (Inactive) West L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Basel: Adjetey J. (Red Card) Ruegg K. (Ankle Injury) van Breemen F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Copenhagen: Moalem J. (Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Basel: Traore B. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Copenhagen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Copenhagen won against Basel?

Copenhagen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Copenhagen?

Basel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Copenhagen - Basel were as follows:

20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1

Latest results of Copenhagen

23.08.2025 Copenhagen - OB Odense 1:1 ✺

20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Nordsjælland - Copenhagen 1:3 ✺

12.08.2025 Copenhagen - Malmö 5:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Basel

20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Biel-Bienne - Basel 1:6 ✺

10.08.2025 Lugano - Basel 3:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Basel - Young Boys 4:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Basel - Grasshoppers 2:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Copenhagen - Basel?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter