Barys Astana vs Sibir Novosibirsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Barys Arena (Astana).

: KHL

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
26	27
Shooting PCT
11.54% (3/26)	11.11% (3/27)
Blocked Shots
17	10
Goalkeeper Saves
24	23
Saves PCT
88.89% (24/27)	88.46% (23/26)
Penalties
7	4
PIM
17	11
Power-play Goals
0	1
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)	14.29% (1/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
85.71% (6/7)	100% (4/4)
Hits
13	18
Faceoffs Won
24	28
Faceoffs %
46.15	53.85
Giveaways
18	8
Takeaways
6	3
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:01, Morelli M. (5 min),
00:01, Lukin A. (5 min),
08:56, Belyakov Y. (2 min),
10:59, 1 - 0, Daniyar Sam. (G), Savitsky K. (A), Kaiyrzhan D. (A2)
11:48, Beketayev A. (2 min),
15:01, 2 - 0, Thompson T. (G), Kaiyrzhan D. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:59, Massie J. (2 min),
08:14, 2 - 1, Tkachyov V. (G), Wilson S. (A),
12:03, Thompson T. (2 min),
13:48, 2 - 2, Kara V. (G), Chekhovich I. (A), Nekolenko A. (A2)
14:27, 2 - 3, Wilson S. (G), Tkachyov V. (A), Alanov Y. (A2)
18:24, Vecchione M. (2 min),
18:24, Vecchione M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:21, 3 - 3, Walsh R. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Simonov S. (A2)
06:45, Chekhovich I. (2 min),
07:18, Thompson T. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
01:05, Butuzov V. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Wilson S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Starchenko R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tkachyov V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Logvin V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Soshnikov N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Omirbekov A. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barys Astana
39.3%

Draw
23%

Sibir Novosibirsk
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

21.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

21.5%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)	4.14 ↓ (4.5)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	5% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

What is the prediction for Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Barys (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 3.
Barys is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sibir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Barys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sibir has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 39:48. (average 2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 2.5:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Barys Astana won against Sibir Novosibirsk?

Barys Astana has won 10 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sibir Novosibirsk won against Barys Astana?

Sibir Novosibirsk has won 12 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk were as follows:

05.10.2025 Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana 1:0

27.09.2025 Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk 6:4

02.09.2025 Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk 3:2

01.09.2025 Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk 3:1

06.03.2025 Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk 4:1

Latest results of Barys Astana

12.10.2025 Barys Astana - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 3:5 ✺

09.10.2025 Traktor Chelyabinsk - Barys Astana 3:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana 4:3 ✺

05.10.2025 Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana 1:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1:5 ✺

Latest results of Sibir Novosibirsk

12.10.2025 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk 2:3 ✺

10.10.2025 Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk 4:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana 1:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk 5:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk 4:3 ✺

KHL Table

2025/26

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	17	9	2	2	4	55:35	24
2	Shanghai	15	7	2	3	3	43:38	21
3	Nizhny Novgorod	18	6	3	1	8	46:51	19
4	Dinamo Minsk	15	6	2	3	4	45:35	19
5	Spartak Moscow	16	6	2	3	5	49:49	19
6	Dynamo Moscow	15	3	6	1	5	44:43	19
7	Cherepovets	15	9	0	0	6	42:33	18
8	CSKA Moscow	16	7	0	2	7	42:45	16
9	SKA St. Petersburg	16	5	1	4	6	42:45	16
10	Lada	16	4	0	2	10	30:62	10
11	Sochi	14	2	2	2	8	30:43	10

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Magnitogorsk	16	10	2	2	2	63:41	26
2	Bars Kazan	17	10	1	1	5	49:45	23
3	Yekaterinburg	18	8	3	1	6	52:40	23
4	Avangard Omsk	16	9	2	0	5	60:44	22
5	Tractor Chelyabinsk	17	6	2	4	5	50:55	20
6	Niznekamsk	17	6	3	1	7	44:49	19
7	Barys Astana	18	4	2	5	7	47:53	17
8	Khabarovsk	15	7	0	2	6	33:34	16
9	Vladivostok	13	4	2	3	4	35:34	15
10	Novosibirsk	15	1	6	0	8	32:42	14
11	Salavat Ufa	15	2	1	2	10	32:49	8

Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: