Barrow vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Barrow - Notts County
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 3
  • Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
Barrow - Notts County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.96
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (219/302)85% (485/571)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.24
Total shots
109
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
117
Passes
73% (219/302)85% (485/571)
Long passes
35% (23/66)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
63% (75/120)72% (96/134)
Crosses
22% (4/18)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.09
Throw-ins
2920
Fouls
711
Tackles
89% (17/19)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.241.68
Goals prevented
0.24-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Walker T. ,
  • 45+2', Luker J. , Grant C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Aljofree S. , Platt M. ,
  • 56', Bennetts K. , Tsaroulla N. ,
  • 64', Earing J. , Cameron I. ,
  • 75', Gordon K. , Cotter B. ,
  • 77', Walker T. , Foley S. ,
  • 77', Mahoney C. , Newby E. ,
  • 82', Canavan N. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Dennis M. , Tsaroulla N. (A),
  • 90+2', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Shipley L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
33.9%
Draw
30.2%
Notts County
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 29.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 29.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Barrow - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.88)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    2.6
    (2.53)
    6.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Barrow - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1.
    • In recent matches, Barrow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notts County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive) Tsaroulla N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Bennetts K. (Injury) Jarvis W. (Inactive) Jatta A. (Inactive) Ness L. (Inactive) Traore M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Notts County were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Notts County - Barrow 1:2
    22.10.2024 Barrow - Notts County 1:1
    27.01.2024 Notts County - Barrow 1:1
    07.10.2023 Barrow - Notts County 1:1
    Latest results of Barrow
    12.08.2025 Barrow - Preston North End 0:1
    02.08.2025 Chesterfield - Barrow 1:0
    26.07.2025 Barrow - Rochdale 1:0
    19.07.2025 Tamworth - Barrow 0:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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