Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Barrow - Crewe Alexandra
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Barrow - Crewe Alexandra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.88
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
58% (157/273)80% (383/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.450.80
Total shots
811
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
810
Passes
58% (157/273)80% (383/478)
Long passes
29% (20/70)36% (28/78)
Passes in final third
49% (53/108)65% (105/161)
Crosses
17% (2/12)13% (4/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.99
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
108
Tackles
69% (9/13)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
3747
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.800.45
Goals prevented
0.80-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Fletcher I. ,
  • 63', Tezgel E. , Moult L. ,
  • 63', Holicek M. , Rankine D. ,
  • 77', Connolly J. , Golding J. ,
  • 77', Gordon J. , Cameron I. ,
  • 77', Agius C. , Lankester J. ,
  • 78', O'Reilly T. , Thomas C. ,
  • 82', Thomas C. 🟨,
  • 86', Mahoney C. , Smith S. ,
  • 90', Stanway W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
30.6%
Draw
29.4%
Crewe Alexandra
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 26.3% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 25.7% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.
  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Barrow - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.6)
    3.17
    (3.54)
    2.37
    (2.47)
    5.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Hamstring Injury) Foley S. (Injury) Healey R. (Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Canavan N. (Injury) Harper R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:0
    10.08.2024 Barrow - Crewe Alexandra 1:0
    20.01.2024 Barrow - Crewe Alexandra 1:3
    22.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 1:3
    07.04.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:0
    Latest results of Barrow
    16.09.2025 Blackpool - Barrow 5:0
    13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1
    06.09.2025 Barrow - Swindon Town 1:3
    30.08.2025 Barrow - Fleetwood Town 0:1
    23.08.2025 Colchester United - Barrow 0:2
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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