Barra Santa Catarina vs Náutico Marcílio Dias: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
0:6
10/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Santa Catarina - Round 1
Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Diego Ceara ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, (Own goal),
  • 39', 0 - 3, Diego Ceara ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 60', 0 - 4, ,
  • 65', 0 - 5, ,
  • 89', 0 - 6, ,

Chances of winning


Barra Santa Catarina
26.7%
Draw
32.9%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 31.5% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 31.3% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barra Santa Catarina's form might have worsened.
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (2.4)
    2.91
    (2.88)
    2.37
    (2.95)
    4.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
  • Users Predictions: Náutico Marcílio Dias will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Náutico Marcílio Dias will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 2.
    • Barra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marcílio Dias has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marcílio Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barra won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    14.07.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina 1:0
    03.05.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias 2:1
    12.02.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina 2:0
    15.09.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:1
    28.01.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:0
    Latest results of Barra Santa Catarina
    Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense33009:279
    2Marcilio Dias320110:286
    3Avai31022:9-73
    4Barra FC30032:10-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Catarina32107:347
    2Chapecoense-SC31202:115
    3Concordia31023:6-33
    4Brusque30122:4-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau32106:247
    2Joinville31114:404
    3Carlos Renaux30214:6-22
    4Nacao30210:2-22


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma33008:179
    2Caravaggio32014:226
    3Camboriu30121:5-41
    4Tubarao30121:6-51

          Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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