Baroka vs Upington City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane).

: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 26

Match Stats


Yellow Cards
0	1
Red Cards
0	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Mokwena B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Mambane S. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Baroka
49%

Draw
28.5%

Upington City
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

24.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Upington City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baroka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Upington City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baroka - Upington City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	4.06 ↑ (3.6)	9.7% (12.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Baroka - Upington City?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13).
Recent matches Baroka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Upington City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Baroka will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

How many head-to-head matches has Baroka won against Upington City?

Baroka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Upington City won against Baroka?

Upington City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Baroka - Upington City were as follows:

30.04.2024 Upington City - Baroka 0:1

04.10.2023 Baroka - Upington City 1:1

Latest results of Baroka

11.04.2025 Casric Stars - Baroka 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Baroka - JDR Stars 3:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Black Leopards - Baroka 2:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Baroka - Cape Town Spurs 0:2 ✺

11.03.2025 Kruger United - Baroka 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Upington City

12.04.2025 Upington City - JDR Stars 0:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Upington City - Hungry Lions 0:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Durban City - Upington City 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Kruger United - Upington City 2:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Upington City - Black Leopards 0:1 ✺

South African First Division Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Durban City	30	17	7	6	44:23	21	58
2	Orbit College	30	14	11	5	33:19	14	53
3	Casric Stars	30	13	9	8	38:29	9	48
4	Black Leopards	30	13	8	9	43:36	7	47
5	Kruger United	30	12	9	9	34:31	3	45
6	Milford FC	30	12	7	11	35:37	-2	43
7	JDR Stars	30	11	10	9	30:33	-3	43
8	Baroka	30	10	11	9	41:43	-2	41
9	Highbury	30	10	8	12	29:28	1	38
10	Pretoria U	30	9	11	10	27:31	-4	38
11	Pretoria Callies	30	10	6	14	23:36	-13	36
12	Upington City	30	8	11	11	28:30	-2	35
13	Hungry Lions	30	8	9	13	35:35	0	33
14	Venda	30	7	10	13	30:34	-4	31
15	Cape Town Spurs	30	6	12	12	24:30	-6	30
16	Leruma United	30	6	9	15	20:39	-19	27

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Baroka - Upington City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: