Baroka vs Upington City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer South African First Division Baroka - Upington City
Result
1:1
23/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 26
Baroka - Upington City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Mokwena B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Mambane S. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Baroka
49%
Draw
28.5%
Upington City
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 28.2% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 24.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Upington City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baroka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Upington City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Baroka - Upington City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.89)
    3.19
    (3.15)
    4.06
    (3.6)
    9.7%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • Recent matches Baroka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Upington City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Baroka will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baroka - Upington City were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Upington City - Baroka 0:1
    04.10.2023 Baroka - Upington City 1:1
    Latest results of Baroka
    11.04.2025 Casric Stars - Baroka 1:1
    05.04.2025 Baroka - JDR Stars 3:2
    29.03.2025 Black Leopards - Baroka 2:2
    14.03.2025 Baroka - Cape Town Spurs 0:2
    11.03.2025 Kruger United - Baroka 2:0
    Latest results of Upington City
    South African First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Upington City11004:223
    2The Bees11002:113
    3Milford FC11001:013
    4Gomora11001:013
    5Midlands Wanderers11001:013
    6Pretoria U10101:101
    7Highbury10101:101
    8Black Leopards10100:001
    9Cape Town City10100:001
    10Venda10100:001
    11Casric Stars10100:001
    12Baroka10011:2-10
    13Hungry Lions10010:1-10
    14Lerumo Lions10010:1-10
    15Leicesterfield City10010:1-10
    16Kruger United10012:4-20

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