Barnsley vs Rotherham United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Barnsley - Rotherham United
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Barnsley - Rotherham United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.51
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
86% (464/537)74% (236/320)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.24
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
86% (464/537)74% (236/320)
Long passes
53% (23/43)46% (33/72)
Passes in final third
75% (116/155)62% (67/108)
Crosses
6% (1/17)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.51
Throw-ins
1025
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
3621
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.241.80
Goals prevented
0.24-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Martha A. , James R. (A),
  • 44', Martha A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Cleary R. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 46', Yoganathan V. , Phillips A. ,
  • 52', Etete K. , Sherif M. ,
  • 58', Bland J. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Russell J. , Ogbeta N. (A),
  • 62', McWilliams S. , Gore D. ,
  • 62', Raggett S. , Rafferty J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Phillips A. , Farrugia N. (A),
  • 69', Dawson C. 🟨,
  • 70', Keillor-Dunn D. , Farrell L. ,
  • 70', Shepherd J. , Earl J. ,
  • 78', Phillips A. 🟨,
  • 80', Yearwood D. , Powell J. ,
  • 80', Hugill J. , Holmes J. ,
  • 81', Vickers C. , Kelly P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
45.5%
Draw
26.2%
Rotherham United
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.5% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.8% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotherham United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.8)
    3.74
    (3.71)
    3.44
    (4.29)
    2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Barnsley - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 4.
    • Barnsley is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rotherham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barnsley is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Roberts M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Nombe S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Spence K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Rotherham United were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Rotherham United - Barnsley 0:1
    08.11.2024 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:0
    Latest results of Barnsley
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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