Milton Keynes Dons vs Barnsley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Milton Keynes Dons - Barnsley
29/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Milton Keynes Dons - Barnsley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
33.8%
Draw
28.6%
Barnsley
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 27.9% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 27% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3.12)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    2.5
    (2.17)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (41.15%), project points - 45, currently - 43, a chance of relegated (38%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Barnsley has the most likely position - 4 (86.05%), project points - 90, currently - 85, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (>99%), a chance of promoted (34%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 24, importance 59, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • MK Dons is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Barnsley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Barnsley will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Barnsley were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Barnsley - Milton Keynes Dons 3:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Barnsley
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huddersfield22005:056
    2Barnsley22006:336
    3Stockport County22004:136
    4Luton22003:036
    5Stevenage22004:226
    6Doncaster22003:126
    7Cardiff21102:114
    8Bradford City21102:114
    9Exeter21014:223
    10AFC Wimbledon21012:113
    11Burton21014:403
    12Wigan21013:303
    13Bolton21012:203
    14Lincoln21012:203
    15Rotherham21012:203
    16Leyton Orient21012:3-13
    17Port Vale20111:2-11
    18Northampton20111:3-21
    19Wycombe20022:4-20
    20Mansfield20022:4-20
    21Peterborough20021:4-30
    22Blackpool20023:7-40
    23Plymouth20021:5-40
    24Reading20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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