Barnsley vs Exeter City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Barnsley - Exeter City
Result
1:2
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 40
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Barnsley - Exeter City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.03
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
81% (363/446)68% (174/255)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.11
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2121
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
81% (363/446)68% (174/255)
Long passes
46% (32/70)40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
62% (90/146)56% (45/80)
Crosses
16% (3/19)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.57
Fouls
1312
Tackles
65% (11/17)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5464
Clearances Total
2250
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.111.31
Goals prevented
-0.890.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Trevitt R. ,
  • 33', Nwakali K. 🟨,
  • 42', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
  • 45', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jones P. , Yogane T. ,
  • 46', Bland J. , Watters M. ,
  • 46', Nwakali K. , Connell L. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Humphrys S. , Keillor-Dunn D. (A),
  • 59', Watts C. , Cox S. ,
  • 70', Niskanen I. , Harper V. ,
  • 75', Jalo F. , Lewis J. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Magennis J. ,
  • 90+1', de Gevigney M. , Rodrigues C. ,
  • 90+8', Trevitt R. , Purrington B. ,

Chances of winning


Barnsley
49.6%
Draw
25.8%
Exeter City
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 21.9% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 21.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.57)
    3.69
    (4.25)
    3.84
    (4.9)
    5.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Barnsley - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.7%80.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 17).
    • Barnsley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Benson J. (Injury) Cotter B. (Ankle Injury) Farrugia N. (Inactive) Gauci J. (Inactive) Gent G. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Fitzwater J. (Inactive) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnsley: Dyer J. (Inactive) Earl J. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Exeter City were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Exeter City - Barnsley 1:2
    27.01.2024 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2
    07.10.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 0:1
    28.03.2023 Exeter City - Barnsley 3:1
    08.10.2022 Barnsley - Exeter City 0:2
    Latest results of Barnsley
    29.03.2025 Wigan Athletic - Barnsley 1:1
    15.03.2025 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:1
    08.03.2025 Barnsley - Blackpool 0:3
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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