Birmingham City vs Barnsley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Birmingham City - Barnsley
Result
6:2
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
Birmingham City - Barnsley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.610.24
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
86% (471/545)66% (170/258)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.610.24
xG on target (xGOT)
4.480.77
Total shots
208
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3811
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (471/545)66% (170/258)
Long passes
55% (27/49)30% (21/70)
Passes in final third
76% (144/189)51% (54/105)
Crosses
23% (6/26)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.35
Fouls
811
Tackles
67% (12/18)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5650
Clearances Total
3244
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.774.48
Goals prevented
-1.23-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', de Gevigney M. 🟥,
  • 8', Watters M. , Bland J. ,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Stansfield J. (Pen),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Keillor-Dunn D. , McCarthy C. (A),
  • 37', Willumsson W. T. , May A. ,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, May A. ,
  • 54', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 1, May A. , Cochrane A. (A),
  • 59', 3 - 2, Humphrys S. , Phillips A. (A),
  • 67', Anderson K. , Harris L. ,
  • 67', Laird E. , Sampsted A. ,
  • 71', Phillips A. , Jalo F. ,
  • 72', 4 - 2, Harris L. , May A. (A),
  • 76', Bland J. 🟨,
  • 82', 5 - 2, Dowell K. , May A. (A),
  • 83', Paik Seung-Ho , Leonard M. ,
  • 83', Stansfield J. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 86', O'Keeffe C. , Lembikisa D. ,
  • 86', Humphrys S. , Lewis J. ,
  • 87', Connell L. , Nwakali K. ,
  • 90', 6 - 2, Jutkiewicz L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
69.6%
Draw
19%
Barnsley
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 21.5% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1% 20.5% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Birmingham City - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.4)
    4.96
    (4.28)
    8.33
    (7.27)
    6.3%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Barnsley?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.
    • Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Barnsley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Birmingham is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Benson J. (Injury) Farrugia N. (Inactive) Gauci J. (Inactive) Gent G. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K. (Inactive) Gardner-Hickman T. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Barnsley: Cotter B. (Ankle Injury) Earl J. (Knock)
    • Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.32.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:14 (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Barnsley were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Barnsley - Birmingham City 1:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Barnsley
    01.04.2025 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2
    29.03.2025 Wigan Athletic - Barnsley 1:1
    15.03.2025 Mansfield Town - Barnsley 2:1
    08.03.2025 Barnsley - Blackpool 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)
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