Barnet vs Grimsby Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Barnet - Grimsby Town
Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Barnet - Grimsby Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.36
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
58% (171/294)55% (156/285)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.06
Total shots
197
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
69
Passes
58% (171/294)55% (156/285)
Long passes
31% (26/83)20% (18/88)
Passes in final third
55% (86/156)51% (44/86)
Crosses
24% (7/29)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.16
Throw-ins
3836
Fouls
96
Tackles
50% (7/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6462
Clearances
1750
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.062.30
Goals prevented
0.06-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Collinge D. 🟨,
  • 28', Shelton M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. , Shelton M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Kanu I. (A),
  • 65', Kabia J. , Burns D. ,
  • 65', Walker J. , Oduor C. ,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Ofoborh N. , Smith K. (A),
  • 73', Khouri E. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 74', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 77', Glover R. , Osadebe E. ,
  • 78', Staunton R. , Sweeney J. ,
  • 80', Stead C. , Stutter R. ,
  • 81', Ndlovu L. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 81', Smith K. , Galvin R. ,
  • 86', Shelton M. , Adeniran D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnet
49.2%
Draw
26.8%
Grimsby Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 25.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grimsby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barnet - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.21)
    3.84
    (3.58)
    4.72
    (2.95)
    -2.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barnet - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Rose D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
    Latest results of Barnet
    13.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barnet 1:2
    06.09.2025 Barnet - Shrewsbury Town 1:3
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    23.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barnet 0:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1282218:10826
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Gillingham1264218:11722
    4MK Dons1263323:121121
    5Grimsby1263324:15921
    6Chesterfield1263322:19321
    7Barnet1262416:12420
    8Crewe1261516:13319
    9Salford1261517:17019
    10Bromley1246218:15318
    11Cambridge Utd1253414:12218
    12Fleetwood1253418:18018
    13Notts Co1152420:13717
    14Bristol Rovers1252513:17-417
    15Oldham1236310:9115
    16Colchester1235418:17114
    17Harrogate1242614:17-314
    18Barrow124269:12-314
    19Tranmere1125416:17-111
    20Accrington112367:14-79
    21Crawley1223710:21-119
    22Shrewsbury122379:20-119
    23Newport1222811:21-108
    24Cheltenham122287:25-188

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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